Met Office forecast models, including ECMWF ensembles, project London's highest temperature on March 27 at around 12°C under a mild Atlantic westerly flow, aligning with trader consensus at 45% implied probability for 12°C and 27.5% for 13°C. This positioning follows recent model runs showing stabilization after earlier March cold snaps, with temperatures tracking 1-2°C above the late-March climatological average of 11°C amid building high pressure. Low probabilities for extremes reflect limited upside from subtropical air masses and minimal downside from northerly winds. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the tight 11-13°C cluster as observations near.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on March 27?
Highest temperature in London on March 27?
12°C 45%
13°C 26%
11°C 16%
14°C 8%
$57,715 Объем
$57,715 Объем
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
16%
12°C
45%
13°C
26%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 45%
13°C 26%
11°C 16%
14°C 8%
$57,715 Объем
$57,715 Объем
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
16%
12°C
45%
13°C
26%
14°C
8%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecast models, including ECMWF ensembles, project London's highest temperature on March 27 at around 12°C under a mild Atlantic westerly flow, aligning with trader consensus at 45% implied probability for 12°C and 27.5% for 13°C. This positioning follows recent model runs showing stabilization after earlier March cold snaps, with temperatures tracking 1-2°C above the late-March climatological average of 11°C amid building high pressure. Low probabilities for extremes reflect limited upside from subtropical air masses and minimal downside from northerly winds. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the tight 11-13°C cluster as observations near.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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