Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 88-89°F as the highest temperature in Dallas on March 20, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a high of 88°F under clear skies and light southerly winds from a persistent warm front. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF align closely, projecting daytime heating to that range amid above-normal late-winter conditions—well above the March average of 67°F—supported by recent soundings showing dry air and minimal cloud interference. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or increased cloud cover from upstream moisture, though multi-model agreement and stable upper-air patterns make such deviations unlikely below 1% odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 20 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Далласе 20 марта?
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$177,746 Объем
$177,746 Объем
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F или выше
<1%
88-89°F 100.0%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$177,746 Объем
$177,746 Объем
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 16, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 88-89°F as the highest temperature in Dallas on March 20, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a high of 88°F under clear skies and light southerly winds from a persistent warm front. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF align closely, projecting daytime heating to that range amid above-normal late-winter conditions—well above the March average of 67°F—supported by recent soundings showing dry air and minimal cloud interference. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or increased cloud cover from upstream moisture, though multi-model agreement and stable upper-air patterns make such deviations unlikely below 1% odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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