Latest National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport forecasts a high near 49°F today under mostly sunny skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, fueling trader consensus with 48-49°F (32% implied probability) edging 50-51°F (28.5%) amid post-cold-frontal cooling. This follows yesterday's front passage that ushered in a shallow cool airmass from Canada, suppressing diurnal heating below the March 28 climatological normal of 52°F during neutral ENSO conditions. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) cluster tightly around 48-50°F but diverge by 1-2°F on peak afternoon boundary-layer mixing and potential fair-weather cumulus development, introducing uncertainty that keeps lower bins like 46-47°F viable at 19.5%. Watch hourly observations through sunset for resolution based on official NOAA station data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
48-49°F 32%
50-51°F 29%
46-47°F 20%
52-53°F 8.9%
$83,454 Объем
$83,454 Объем
Mar 28, 2026
43°F or below
2%
44-45°F
4%
46-47°F
20%
48-49°F
32%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F or higher
<1%
48-49°F 32%
50-51°F 29%
46-47°F 20%
52-53°F 8.9%
$83,454 Объем
$83,454 Объем
Mar 28, 2026
43°F or below
$12,617 Объем
2%
44-45°F
$5,676 Объем
4%
46-47°F
$4,102 Объем
20%
48-49°F
$4,390 Объем
32%
50-51°F
$3,421 Объем
29%
52-53°F
$5,229 Объем
9%
54-55°F
$6,166 Объем
2%
56-57°F
$6,484 Объем
1%
58-59°F
$7,406 Объем
1%
60-61°F
$4,148 Объем
1%
62°F or higher
$23,854 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport forecasts a high near 49°F today under mostly sunny skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, fueling trader consensus with 48-49°F (32% implied probability) edging 50-51°F (28.5%) amid post-cold-frontal cooling. This follows yesterday's front passage that ushered in a shallow cool airmass from Canada, suppressing diurnal heating below the March 28 climatological normal of 52°F during neutral ENSO conditions. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) cluster tightly around 48-50°F but diverge by 1-2°F on peak afternoon boundary-layer mixing and potential fair-weather cumulus development, introducing uncertainty that keeps lower bins like 46-47°F viable at 19.5%. Watch hourly observations through sunset for resolution based on official NOAA station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$83,454Дата окончания
Mar 28, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport forecasts a high near 49°F today under mostly sunny skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, fueling trader consensus with 48-49°F (32% implied probability) edging 50-51°F (28.5%) amid post-cold-frontal cooling. This follows yesterday's front passage that ushered in a shallow cool airmass from Canada, suppressing diurnal heating below the March 28 climatological normal of 52°F during neutral ENSO conditions. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) cluster tightly around 48-50°F but diverge by 1-2°F on peak afternoon boundary-layer mixing and potential fair-weather cumulus development, introducing uncertainty that keeps lower bins like 46-47°F viable at 19.5%. Watch hourly observations through sunset for resolution based on official NOAA station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$83,454Дата окончания
Mar 28, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport forecasts a high near 49°F today under mostly sunny skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, fueling trader consensus with 48-49°F (32% implied probability) edging 50-51°F (28.5%) amid post-cold-frontal cooling. This follows yesterday's front passage that ushered in a shallow cool airmass from Canada, suppressing diurnal heating below the March 28 climatological normal of 52°F during neutral ENSO conditions. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) cluster tightly around 48-50°F but diverge by 1-2°F on peak afternoon boundary-layer mixing and potential fair-weather cumulus development, introducing uncertainty that keeps lower bins like 46-47°F viable at 19.5%. Watch hourly observations through sunset for resolution based on official NOAA station data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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