Official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) recorded a high temperature of 40°F on April 1, 2026, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for the 40-41°F outcome as traders align with verified METAR data. This cooler-than-normal reading—below the April 1 climatological average of 53°F—stems from persistent cloudy skies and a stable cold air mass over the Midwest, consistent with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 41°F amid light winds and no significant warming. While resolution awaits final Wunderground-sourced confirmation from O'Hare records, rare data revisions from quality-controlled observations could theoretically shift outcomes, though model consensus and hourly reports show negligible upside potential beyond 41°F. Traders eye the CLI summary release for closure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 1?
40-41°F 100.0%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$180,472 Объем
$180,472 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
40-41°F
100%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52°F or higher
<1%
40-41°F 100.0%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$180,472 Объем
$180,472 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
40-41°F
$20,768 Объем
100%
42-43°F
$14,311 Объем
<1%
44-45°F
$14,447 Объем
<1%
46-47°F
$12,735 Объем
<1%
48-49°F
$11,456 Объем
<1%
50-51°F
$11,218 Объем
<1%
52°F or higher
$35,225 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) recorded a high temperature of 40°F on April 1, 2026, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for the 40-41°F outcome as traders align with verified METAR data. This cooler-than-normal reading—below the April 1 climatological average of 53°F—stems from persistent cloudy skies and a stable cold air mass over the Midwest, consistent with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 41°F amid light winds and no significant warming. While resolution awaits final Wunderground-sourced confirmation from O'Hare records, rare data revisions from quality-controlled observations could theoretically shift outcomes, though model consensus and hourly reports show negligible upside potential beyond 41°F. Traders eye the CLI summary release for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Объем
$180,472Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) recorded a high temperature of 40°F on April 1, 2026, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for the 40-41°F outcome as traders align with verified METAR data. This cooler-than-normal reading—below the April 1 climatological average of 53°F—stems from persistent cloudy skies and a stable cold air mass over the Midwest, consistent with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 41°F amid light winds and no significant warming. While resolution awaits final Wunderground-sourced confirmation from O'Hare records, rare data revisions from quality-controlled observations could theoretically shift outcomes, though model consensus and hourly reports show negligible upside potential beyond 41°F. Traders eye the CLI summary release for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$180,472Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:29 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the National Weather Service at Chicago O'Hare International Airport (KORD) recorded a high temperature of 40°F on April 1, 2026, driving the market-implied 99.9% probability for the 40-41°F outcome as traders align with verified METAR data. This cooler-than-normal reading—below the April 1 climatological average of 53°F—stems from persistent cloudy skies and a stable cold air mass over the Midwest, consistent with pre-event National Weather Service forecasts projecting a high near 41°F amid light winds and no significant warming. While resolution awaits final Wunderground-sourced confirmation from O'Hare records, rare data revisions from quality-controlled observations could theoretically shift outcomes, though model consensus and hourly reports show negligible upside potential beyond 41°F. Traders eye the CLI summary release for closure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы