Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (44.5%) and 23°C (38.0%) for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 1 at Shuangliu International Airport, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models showing a tight spread centering on 23-24°C. Early morning observations today registered around 17°C under sunny skies with light southerly winds, setting up potential daytime heating, but uncertainty arises from variable cloud cover, a 42% chance of late showers, and minor model disagreements on boundary layer mixing and insolation. Historical early-April highs average near 20°C, yet this year's spring warming trends and current conditions tilt toward the upper 20s; hourly airport readings will clarify the peak before evening resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 1?
24°C 56%
23°C 38%
25°C 10.2%
22°C 8%
$52,838 Объем
$52,838 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
38%
24°C
51%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
24°C 56%
23°C 38%
25°C 10.2%
22°C 8%
$52,838 Объем
$52,838 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$5,124 Объем
<1%
18°C
$6,494 Объем
<1%
19°C
$8,103 Объем
<1%
20°C
$6,315 Объем
<1%
21°C
$5,856 Объем
1%
22°C
$4,165 Объем
8%
23°C
$2,040 Объем
38%
24°C
$2,798 Объем
51%
25°C
$3,767 Объем
10%
26°C
$4,176 Объем
2%
27°C or higher
$4,156 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (44.5%) and 23°C (38.0%) for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 1 at Shuangliu International Airport, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models showing a tight spread centering on 23-24°C. Early morning observations today registered around 17°C under sunny skies with light southerly winds, setting up potential daytime heating, but uncertainty arises from variable cloud cover, a 42% chance of late showers, and minor model disagreements on boundary layer mixing and insolation. Historical early-April highs average near 20°C, yet this year's spring warming trends and current conditions tilt toward the upper 20s; hourly airport readings will clarify the peak before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Объем
$52,838Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (44.5%) and 23°C (38.0%) for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 1 at Shuangliu International Airport, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models showing a tight spread centering on 23-24°C. Early morning observations today registered around 17°C under sunny skies with light southerly winds, setting up potential daytime heating, but uncertainty arises from variable cloud cover, a 42% chance of late showers, and minor model disagreements on boundary layer mixing and insolation. Historical early-April highs average near 20°C, yet this year's spring warming trends and current conditions tilt toward the upper 20s; hourly airport readings will clarify the peak before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$52,838Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C (44.5%) and 23°C (38.0%) for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 1 at Shuangliu International Airport, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models showing a tight spread centering on 23-24°C. Early morning observations today registered around 17°C under sunny skies with light southerly winds, setting up potential daytime heating, but uncertainty arises from variable cloud cover, a 42% chance of late showers, and minor model disagreements on boundary layer mixing and insolation. Historical early-April highs average near 20°C, yet this year's spring warming trends and current conditions tilt toward the upper 20s; hourly airport readings will clarify the peak before evening resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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