Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts project a 30°C high for Buenos Aires on March 29, propelled by a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm subtropical air masses 3-6°C above the late-March climatological average of 28°C, explaining the near-tie among 29°C (27.5% implied probability), 30°C (27%), and 28°C (24%). Trader consensus reflects model ensemble spread—such as Infoclima's 28°C outlook—stemming from 40-70% chances of isolated thunderstorms introducing cloud cover or convective cooling before peak afternoon heating around 3-4 PM local time, alongside potential sea breeze moderation from the Río de la Plata. Key differentiators include instability timing and subsidence strength; delayed convection favors 30°C, while early showers cap at 28°C. Watch SMN's final morning update and real-time Aeroparque/Ezeiza observations for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
30°C 30%
29°C 25%
28°C 21%
31°C 15%
$35,322 Объем
$35,322 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
21%
29°C
25%
30°C
30%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 30%
29°C 25%
28°C 21%
31°C 15%
$35,322 Объем
$35,322 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
21%
29°C
25%
30°C
30%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts project a 30°C high for Buenos Aires on March 29, propelled by a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm subtropical air masses 3-6°C above the late-March climatological average of 28°C, explaining the near-tie among 29°C (27.5% implied probability), 30°C (27%), and 28°C (24%). Trader consensus reflects model ensemble spread—such as Infoclima's 28°C outlook—stemming from 40-70% chances of isolated thunderstorms introducing cloud cover or convective cooling before peak afternoon heating around 3-4 PM local time, alongside potential sea breeze moderation from the Río de la Plata. Key differentiators include instability timing and subsidence strength; delayed convection favors 30°C, while early showers cap at 28°C. Watch SMN's final morning update and real-time Aeroparque/Ezeiza observations for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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