Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 18°C and 19°C highs for Beijing on April 1, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), projecting 17-20°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds at 10-12 km/h. Early morning observations at 01:55 local time show 13.8°C with clearing conditions, allowing potential solar heating if afternoon cloud breaks occur, as hinted by ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 15-20°C. Spring frontal variability and Beijing's urban heat island amplify diurnal swings from historical April 1 averages near 18°C; monitor CMA hourly updates through late afternoon for peak insolation impacts resolving the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
19°C 85%
20°C 5.7%
21°C 1.3%
22°C or higher <1%
$98,668 Объем
$98,668 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
85%
20°C
6%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 85%
20°C 5.7%
21°C 1.3%
22°C or higher <1%
$98,668 Объем
$98,668 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
13°C
$7,321 Объем
<1%
14°C
$7,417 Объем
<1%
15°C
$9,943 Объем
<1%
16°C
$16,866 Объем
<1%
17°C
$13,167 Объем
<1%
18°C
$9,617 Объем
1%
19°C
$9,577 Объем
85%
20°C
$9,142 Объем
6%
21°C
$6,668 Объем
1%
22°C or higher
$7,669 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 18°C and 19°C highs for Beijing on April 1, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), projecting 17-20°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds at 10-12 km/h. Early morning observations at 01:55 local time show 13.8°C with clearing conditions, allowing potential solar heating if afternoon cloud breaks occur, as hinted by ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 15-20°C. Spring frontal variability and Beijing's urban heat island amplify diurnal swings from historical April 1 averages near 18°C; monitor CMA hourly updates through late afternoon for peak insolation impacts resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Объем
$98,668Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 18°C and 19°C highs for Beijing on April 1, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), projecting 17-20°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds at 10-12 km/h. Early morning observations at 01:55 local time show 13.8°C with clearing conditions, allowing potential solar heating if afternoon cloud breaks occur, as hinted by ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 15-20°C. Spring frontal variability and Beijing's urban heat island amplify diurnal swings from historical April 1 averages near 18°C; monitor CMA hourly updates through late afternoon for peak insolation impacts resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$98,668Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 18°C and 19°C highs for Beijing on April 1, driven by divergent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), projecting 17-20°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds at 10-12 km/h. Early morning observations at 01:55 local time show 13.8°C with clearing conditions, allowing potential solar heating if afternoon cloud breaks occur, as hinted by ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 15-20°C. Spring frontal variability and Beijing's urban heat island amplify diurnal swings from historical April 1 averages near 18°C; monitor CMA hourly updates through late afternoon for peak insolation impacts resolving the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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