Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change to the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate at its June 10 announcement, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid cooling headline inflation to 1.8% year-over-year in February—below the 2% target—yet resilient core measures and a stable unemployment rate of 6.7% in March, with only modest 14,000 job gains. Major bank forecasts and economist consensus anticipate steady rates through much of 2026, citing balanced risks without acute labor distress or inflationary pressures warranting a 25 basis point cut (7.5%) or hike (6%). The April 29 Monetary Policy Report looms as the key near-term catalyst for sentiment shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 86%
25 bps decrease 8%
Increase 6%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 июн. 2026 г.
50+ bps decrease
4%
25 bps decrease
8%
No change
86%
Increase
6%
No change 86%
25 bps decrease 8%
Increase 6%
50+ bps decrease 3.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 июн. 2026 г.
50+ bps decrease
$188 Объем
4%
25 bps decrease
$836 Объем
8%
No change
$3,569 Объем
86%
Increase
$804 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change to the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate at its June 10 announcement, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid cooling headline inflation to 1.8% year-over-year in February—below the 2% target—yet resilient core measures and a stable unemployment rate of 6.7% in March, with only modest 14,000 job gains. Major bank forecasts and economist consensus anticipate steady rates through much of 2026, citing balanced risks without acute labor distress or inflationary pressures warranting a 25 basis point cut (7.5%) or hike (6%). The April 29 Monetary Policy Report looms as the key near-term catalyst for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Объем
$5,397Дата окончания
10 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change to the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate at its June 10 announcement, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid cooling headline inflation to 1.8% year-over-year in February—below the 2% target—yet resilient core measures and a stable unemployment rate of 6.7% in March, with only modest 14,000 job gains. Major bank forecasts and economist consensus anticipate steady rates through much of 2026, citing balanced risks without acute labor distress or inflationary pressures warranting a 25 basis point cut (7.5%) or hike (6%). The April 29 Monetary Policy Report looms as the key near-term catalyst for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Объем
$5,397Дата окончания
10 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price an 86% implied probability of no change to the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate at its June 10 announcement, reflecting Governing Council’s March 18 hold amid cooling headline inflation to 1.8% year-over-year in February—below the 2% target—yet resilient core measures and a stable unemployment rate of 6.7% in March, with only modest 14,000 job gains. Major bank forecasts and economist consensus anticipate steady rates through much of 2026, citing balanced risks without acute labor distress or inflationary pressures warranting a 25 basis point cut (7.5%) or hike (6%). The April 29 Monetary Policy Report looms as the key near-term catalyst for sentiment shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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