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X Risco previsões e probabilidades

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Yes

$141M Vol.

$134M today

1

Ends em 21 dias

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

74%

December 31

$94M Vol.

$4M today

$2M Liq.

1,962

Ends em 8 meses

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

73%

June 30

$34M Vol.

$405K today

$222K Liq.

6

Ends há 10 dias

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

8%

$490K Vol.

$102K today

$34.2K Liq.

8

Ends em 21 dias

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes

$15M Vol.

5,422

Ends em 8 meses

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

100%

No Meeting before May 11

$2M Vol.

$77.8K Liq.

34

Ends em cerca de 3 horas

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

-

$193K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

19%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$43.9K Liq.

35

Ends em 8 meses

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

19%

$303K Vol.

$31.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

21%

$450K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

19

Ends em 8 meses

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

21%

$189K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

16%

June 30

$772K Vol.

$126K Liq.

13

Ends em 21 dias

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

93%

$109K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

12

Ends em 21 dias

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?

73%

December 31

$57.5K Vol.

$64.1K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

12%

$693K Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

33

Ends em 8 meses

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

57%

$23.3K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 21 dias

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

10%

$2M Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

5%

May 31

$147K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

22

Ends em 21 dias

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

72%

Steve Witkoff

$1M Vol.

$106K Liq.

69

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

7%

June 30

$591K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

38

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like X Risco.

Polymarket currently hosts 227 active markets for X Risco that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $294.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on X Risco predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.