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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor <1%

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Polymarket

$9,849 Vol.

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor <1%

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Polymarket

$9,849 Vol.

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$2,425 Vol.

Yes

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$1,422 Vol.

No

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$1,368 Vol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$292 Vol.

No

icon for Google

Google

$446 Vol.

No

icon for ALO

ALO

$541 Vol.

No

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$387 Vol.

No

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$1,437 Vol.

No

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$1,530 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic's Claude app a 68.5% implied probability of claiming the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on May 12, fueled by its recent surge—including hitting #2 on May 8 amid over 1 million daily signups—and ongoing AI assistant momentum from May updates like Claude Code stability fixes and Microsoft 365 add-ins boosting enterprise and consumer adoption. Currently at #4 behind Paramount+ (#1), Netflix Game Controller (#2, 25% odds), and ChatGPT (#3), Claude benefits from sustained downloads in the competitive large language model landscape, where AI apps dominate top charts. Netflix's controller app trails on mobile gaming expansion but shows signs of peaking, with hourly ranking volatility and tomorrow's snapshot as the key resolution catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$9,849
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic's Claude app a 68.5% implied probability of claiming the #2 free spot in the US Apple App Store on May 12, fueled by its recent surge—including hitting #2 on May 8 amid over 1 million daily signups—and ongoing AI assistant momentum from May updates like Claude Code stability fixes and Microsoft 365 add-ins boosting enterprise and consumer adoption. Currently at #4 behind Paramount+ (#1), Netflix Game Controller (#2, 25% odds), and ChatGPT (#3), Claude benefits from sustained downloads in the competitive large language model landscape, where AI apps dominate top charts. Netflix's controller app trails on mobile gaming expansion but shows signs of peaking, with hourly ranking volatility and tomorrow's snapshot as the key resolution catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$9,849
Data de Término
12 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 9, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 100%, followed by "CapCut: Photo & Video Editor" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" is "Claude by Anthropic" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "CapCut: Photo & Video Editor" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.