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Optimus previsões e probabilidades

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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

2%

June 30

$98.2K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

12

Ends em 7 meses

Zelenskyy # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

31%

80-99

$714 Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 29 - June 5, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 29 - June 5, 2026?

37%

80-99

$1.8K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Best AI model on May 30? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 30? (Style Control Off)

100%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$39.0K Vol.

$2M Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

Zelenskyy # posts May 26 - June 2, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 26 - June 2, 2026?

49%

80-99

$6.5K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

35%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

130

Ends em 7 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

69%

$591K Vol.

$33.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

52%

↓ $0.40

$1.5K Vol.

$793 Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

94%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$5.6K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?

77%

↑ $216

$14.9K Vol.

$48.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

3rd largest private company end of June?

3rd largest private company end of June?

88%

OpenAI

$26.2K Vol.

$130K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

91%

Anthropic

$21.3K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

81%

Anthropic

$21.2K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

14%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$328 Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Flame Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Flame Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

96%

Natus Vincere

$146 Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 19 horas

2nd largest private company end of June?

2nd largest private company end of June?

83%

Anthropic

$15.4K Vol.

$97.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above __?

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above __?

96%

$25B

$7.6K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?

56%

Google

$26.3K Vol.

$75.2K Liq.

Ends em 30 dias

Largest private company end of June?

Largest private company end of June?

92%

SpaceX

$57.4K Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 25 - May 31)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 25 - May 31)

11%

Budget

$10.5K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

1

Ends há 42 minutos

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Optimus.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Optimus that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 35% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Optimus predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.