Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

94%

June 30

$69.9K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

11

Ends em 9 meses

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

Top AI model on April 10? (Style Control On)

98%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$14.3K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on April 10? (Style Control Off)

96%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$5.8K Vol.

$91.6K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

57%

60-79

$4.9K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A

Power Rangers

$51.2K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 6 dias

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

48%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

108

Ends em 3 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

35%

$448K Vol.

$42.8K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

80%

↑ $184

$29.7K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

75%

>$600M

$15M Vol.

$65.2K today

$464K Liq.

262

Ends em 3 meses

What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán?

What will JD Vance say during bilateral events with Orbán?

89%

Trump

$2.3K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 dias

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B

57%

Power Rangers

$252 Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 11 horas

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

71%

Alibaba

$4.6K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

47%

25-29

$528 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)

Highest grossing movie this weekend (April 3)

100%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

$41.5K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends há 2 dias

Overwatch: ZAN Esports vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Group Stage

Overwatch: ZAN Esports vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 1 Group Stage

51%

ZAN Esports

$5 Vol.

$588 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 9 horas

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

83%

Anthropic

$17.0K Vol.

$87.4K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of April 6 2026?

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of April 6 2026?

70%

↓ $176

$182 Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season

51%

Eintracht Frankfurt

$0 Vol.

$33 Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

52%

Anthropic

$411 Vol.

$36.9K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best Math AI model end of April?

30%

Anthropic

$9 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Optimus.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Optimus that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $17.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Dota 2: Power Rangers vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 75% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Optimus predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.