Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 models currently anchor trader consensus at 97.8 percent implied probability for the best AI model by end of May. The positioning stems from recent releases that deliver top-tier results on agentic coding benchmarks like SWE-bench, long-context reliability, and instruction-following, outpacing competitors in practical developer workflows and enterprise adoption metrics. These updates build on Anthropic's consistent emphasis on verifiable reasoning and safety-aligned capabilities that resonate with real-world usage data. A sudden major release from OpenAI or Google in the final days could narrow the gap, though historical product timelines make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no final de maio?
Anthropic 97.6%
OpenAI 1.1%
Google 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,650,379 Vol.
$9,650,379 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Anthropic
98%
OpenAI
1%
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 97.6%
OpenAI 1.1%
Google 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,650,379 Vol.
$9,650,379 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Anthropic
$789,854 Vol.
98%
OpenAI
$831,234 Vol.
1%
$838,855 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$601,083 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$641,943 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$744,635 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$529,778 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$571,996 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$561,151 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$501,474 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$471,354 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$408,756 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,424,826 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$311,916 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$422,351 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 models currently anchor trader consensus at 97.8 percent implied probability for the best AI model by end of May. The positioning stems from recent releases that deliver top-tier results on agentic coding benchmarks like SWE-bench, long-context reliability, and instruction-following, outpacing competitors in practical developer workflows and enterprise adoption metrics. These updates build on Anthropic's consistent emphasis on verifiable reasoning and safety-aligned capabilities that resonate with real-world usage data. A sudden major release from OpenAI or Google in the final days could narrow the gap, though historical product timelines make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Volume
$9,650,379Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 models currently anchor trader consensus at 97.8 percent implied probability for the best AI model by end of May. The positioning stems from recent releases that deliver top-tier results on agentic coding benchmarks like SWE-bench, long-context reliability, and instruction-following, outpacing competitors in practical developer workflows and enterprise adoption metrics. These updates build on Anthropic's consistent emphasis on verifiable reasoning and safety-aligned capabilities that resonate with real-world usage data. A sudden major release from OpenAI or Google in the final days could narrow the gap, though historical product timelines make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$9,650,379Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6 models currently anchor trader consensus at 97.8 percent implied probability for the best AI model by end of May. The positioning stems from recent releases that deliver top-tier results on agentic coding benchmarks like SWE-bench, long-context reliability, and instruction-following, outpacing competitors in practical developer workflows and enterprise adoption metrics. These updates build on Anthropic's consistent emphasis on verifiable reasoning and safety-aligned capabilities that resonate with real-world usage data. A sudden major release from OpenAI or Google in the final days could narrow the gap, though historical product timelines make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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