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HumanóIde previsões e probabilidades

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A Tesla lançará o Optimus até...?

A Tesla lançará o Optimus até...?

1%

30 de junho

$101K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

12

Ends em 6 meses

LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C

LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C

100%

Saigon Warriors

$471K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 14 dias

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

96%

Anthropic

$38.3K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

80%

Anthropic

$35.0K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

75%

Anthropic

$173K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

3

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

71%

September 30

$14.1K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

99%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$15.1K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

18%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$486 Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

21%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

135

Ends em 6 meses

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

5%

$2.6K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 6 meses

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

74%

↑ $1.1T

$458K Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

72%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.6K Vol.

$451 Liq.

5

Ends em 6 meses

Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?

73%

1480+

$287 Vol.

$272 Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

58%

$ANTH

$39.8K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

1

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

69%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$698 Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

46%

1.8T+

$175K Vol.

$81.3K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

98%

4+

$21.2K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

97%

↑$1.1T

$2M Vol.

$273K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

89%

600B+

$387K Vol.

$161K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 24 - June 28)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 24 - June 28)

45%

Deal

$14 Vol.

$471 Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like HumanóIde.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for HumanóIde that lets you track or trade on predictions like “A Tesla lançará o Optimus até...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 21% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on HumanóIde predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.