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HumanóIde previsões e probabilidades

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Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

2%

June 30

$98.2K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

12

Ends em 7 meses

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

91%

Anthropic

$21.3K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

81%

Anthropic

$21.2K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

25%

Anthropic

$63.9K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

94%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$5.6K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

14%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$328 Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

36%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

130

Ends em 7 meses

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

6%

$2.6K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?

46%

↑ $1.1T

$282K Vol.

$109K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

53%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$527 Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

74%

July 31

$504K Vol.

$35.9K Liq.

22

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

26%

<2

$365 Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em 30 dias

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

93%

<2

$33.6K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 4 horas

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

98%

↑$1.1T

$1M Vol.

$503K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

92%

600B+

$324K Vol.

$156K Liq.

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Zelenskyy # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 2 - June 9, 2026?

36%

80-99

$714 Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Prestige

$42.3K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 11 horas

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

99%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

$1M Vol.

$221K Liq.

5

Ends em 30 dias

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$487K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

31

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

7%

Anthropic

$4.6K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like HumanóIde.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for HumanóIde that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Tesla release Optimus by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group C”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 36% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on HumanóIde predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.