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icon for IPO antrópico por __?

IPO antrópico por __?

icon for IPO antrópico por __?

IPO antrópico por __?

NOVO

$16,614 Vol.

1 jul 2027
Polymarket

$16,614 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$5,064 Vol.

1%

31 de julho de 2026

$2,354 Vol.

9%

30 de setembro de 2026

$7,285 Vol.

79%

31 de dezembro de 2026

$2,980 Vol.

90%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s confidential submission of a draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC on June 1, 2026, marks the clearest step yet toward a potential listing, following its $65 billion Series H round closed May 28 at a $965 billion post-money valuation. The raise more than doubled the prior mark and outpaced OpenAI’s valuation, underscoring robust demand for its Claude models amid surging AI adoption and an estimated $9–44 billion annualized revenue run-rate. This positions the company for a possible Q4 2026 debut alongside peers like OpenAI and SpaceX, with timing hinging on market conditions, SEC review, and sustained revenue growth. Traders are pricing in elevated odds of an IPO by year-end given the filing momentum and capital-market appetite for large AI issuers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,614
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s confidential submission of a draft S-1 registration statement to the SEC on June 1, 2026, marks the clearest step yet toward a potential listing, following its $65 billion Series H round closed May 28 at a $965 billion post-money valuation. The raise more than doubled the prior mark and outpaced OpenAI’s valuation, underscoring robust demand for its Claude models amid surging AI adoption and an estimated $9–44 billion annualized revenue run-rate. This positions the company for a possible Q4 2026 debut alongside peers like OpenAI and SpaceX, with timing hinging on market conditions, SEC review, and sustained revenue growth. Traders are pricing in elevated odds of an IPO by year-end given the filing momentum and capital-market appetite for large AI issuers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,614
Data de Término
1 jul 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IPO antrópico por __?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 90%, followed by "30 de setembro de 2026" at 79%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPO antrópico por __?" has generated $16.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPO antrópico por __?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IPO antrópico por __?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro de 2026" at 79%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IPO antrópico por __?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.