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Taxa previsões e probabilidades

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

66%

0 (0 bps)

$25M Vol.

$316K today

$1M Liq.

71

Ends em 8 meses

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

28%

$1M Vol.

$45.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

56%

3.75%

$6M Vol.

$140K Liq.

7

Ends em 7 meses

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

33%

December Meeting

$2M Vol.

$153K Liq.

17

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

ECB rate hike in 2026?

ECB rate hike in 2026?

90%

$111K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?

Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?

99%

85–90

$11.8K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

13%

$27.7K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

May Unemployment Rate

May Unemployment Rate

36%

4.3%

$468 Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends em 23 dias

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

16%

September Meeting

$145K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

54%

$7.9K Vol.

$335 Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?

44%

1600.00+

$6.9K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

65%

$27.4K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?

US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?

27%

$62 Vol.

$758 Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

61%

↑ 6.50%

$43.7K Vol.

$186 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

$6.3K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

2

Ends em 9 meses

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

49%

<1600.00

$17.9K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

11%

$104K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

35%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$120K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

People's Bank of China rate change in May?

People's Bank of China rate change in May?

98%

No Change

$3.3K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

86%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$110K Vol.

$54.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 289 active markets for Taxa that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $36.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ECB rate hike in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

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