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Powell previsões e probabilidades

·
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

99%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$168K today

$301K Liq.

91

Ends em 8 dias

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

43%

December 31

$294K Vol.

$50.1K Liq.

12

Ends em 8 meses

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

7%

June 30

$2.2K Vol.

$41.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

99%

June 30

$45.4K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

98%

May 15–22

$76.4K Vol.

$47.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

3%

$264K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

33

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

18%

December 31

$14.7K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

1%

$87.9K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

4%

$3.5K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

100%

Kevin Warsh

$49M Vol.

$365K today

$3M Liq.

98

Ends em 6 meses

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

96%

No change

$18M Vol.

$464K today

$2M Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

57%

0 (0 bps)

$23M Vol.

$244K today

$1M Liq.

67

Ends em 8 meses

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

89%

No change

$5M Vol.

$463K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

What will Trump say during remarks at the Small Business Summit?

What will Trump say during remarks at the Small Business Summit?

2%

Hell 3+ times

$60.2K Vol.

$201 Liq.

5

Ends há 2 dias

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

34%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$727K Liq.

57

Ends em 8 meses

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

23%

$988K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

92%

Tucker Carlson

$78.6K Vol.

$45.7K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

95%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$48.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

39%

December Meeting

$2M Vol.

$138K Liq.

17

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

44%

↓ 3.25%

$1M Vol.

$101K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Powell.

Polymarket currently hosts 144 active markets for Powell that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $110.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Kevin Warsh. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Powell predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.