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Autoridade Palestina previsões e probabilidades

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Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

8%

December 31

$122K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

19%

New Zealand

$625K Vol.

$59.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Ends há 17 dias

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%

June 30

$613K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

4%

$92.2K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

14

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

36%

$149K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

291

Ends em 14 dias

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

9%

May 31

$1M Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

49

Ends em 14 dias

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

15%

$14.0K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

13%

$67.7K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

13%

$50.1K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

7%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

159

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

13%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

357

Ends há 5 meses

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

36%

December 31

$555K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

13

Ends há 5 meses

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

41%

5

$7M Vol.

$337K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

31%

June 30

$150K Vol.

$397 Liq.

30

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

14%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

980

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

1%

$5.2K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

1

Ends em 14 dias

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

20%

$1.9K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

39%

$29.0K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

4

Ends em 8 meses

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$3.6K Vol.

$168K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Autoridade Palestina that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to 5. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Autoridade Palestina predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.