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MudançAs De LiderançA previsões e probabilidades

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Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

29%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$115K Liq.

1,070

Ends em 7 meses

Bricks & Minifigs CEO fired/resigns by July 31?

Bricks & Minifigs CEO fired/resigns by July 31?

39%

$43 Vol.

$91 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

2%

June 30

$172K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

11

Ends em 7 meses

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by...?

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by...?

88%

December 31

$19.4K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

1%

$3M Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

$10M Vol.

$64.8K today

$156K Liq.

707

Ends em 7 meses

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

100%

December 31

$299K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

19

Ends em 20 dias

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

11%

$151K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

21%

$415K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

14

Ends em 7 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

60%

Petro - Colombia President

$774K Vol.

$223K Liq.

11

Ends em 7 meses

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

53%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$40.1K Liq.

75

Ends em 20 dias

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

6%

$99.9K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

9

Ends em 7 meses

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

14%

$1.6K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?

36%

$1.1K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$324K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

111

Ends em 7 meses

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

75%

Andy Burnham

$22.2K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

13%

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$696K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

20

Ends em 7 meses

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

50%

December 31

$122M Vol.

$95.1K Liq.

34

Ends em 7 meses

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$213K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

69

Ends em 7 meses

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

4%

$196K Vol.

$324 Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for MudançAs De LiderançA that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran leadership change by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $157.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Xi Jinping out by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 50% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on MudançAs De LiderançA predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.