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icon for Xi Jinping sair até 30 de junho?

Xi Jinping sair até 30 de junho?

icon for Xi Jinping sair até 30 de junho?

Xi Jinping sair até 30 de junho?

Sim

2% chance
Polymarket

$2,200,765 Vol.

Sim

2% chance
Polymarket

$2,200,765 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Xi Jinping will remain in power as Chinese Communist Party general secretary, state president, and Central Military Commission chairman beyond June 30, driven by his unchallenged dominance following years of anti-corruption purges, including today's military court sentencing of former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu to suspended death sentences for graft. No verified health issues, leadership challenges, or succession signals have emerged in recent weeks, with Xi active in diplomatic directives like dispatching a special envoy to Costa Rica on May 6. Structural barriers—abolished term limits, loyalist appointments, and elite stability—bolster this positioning, though unforeseen health crises, internal coups, or external shocks could theoretically shift dynamics in the final weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,200,765
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Xi Jinping will remain in power as Chinese Communist Party general secretary, state president, and Central Military Commission chairman beyond June 30, driven by his unchallenged dominance following years of anti-corruption purges, including today's military court sentencing of former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu to suspended death sentences for graft. No verified health issues, leadership challenges, or succession signals have emerged in recent weeks, with Xi active in diplomatic directives like dispatching a special envoy to Costa Rica on May 6. Structural barriers—abolished term limits, loyalist appointments, and elite stability—bolster this positioning, though unforeseen health crises, internal coups, or external shocks could theoretically shift dynamics in the final weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,200,765
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Xi Jinping sair até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Xi Jinping fora até 30 de junho?" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Xi Jinping sair até 30 de junho?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Xi Jinping sair até 30 de junho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Xi Jinping sair até 30 de junho?" is "Xi Jinping fora até 30 de junho?" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Xi Jinping sair até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.