US and Israeli airstrikes since late February 2026, under Operation Epic Fury, have significantly degraded Iran's nuclear program by targeting key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, destroying centrifuges and complicating access to an estimated 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium—enough for roughly 10 bombs if further processed. A February 27 IAEA report highlighted the agency's inability to verify suspension of enrichment activities or inspect bombed facilities, but satellite imagery shows no confirmed resumption, with Iran denying restarts. President Trump announced on April 1 that operations near completion, reinforcing trader consensus at 91.5% "No," though covert rebuilding or stockpile recovery could shift odds amid ongoing bilateral talks and IAEA monitoring efforts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
$474,310 Vol.
$474,310 Vol.
Sim
$474,310 Vol.
$474,310 Vol.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli airstrikes since late February 2026, under Operation Epic Fury, have significantly degraded Iran's nuclear program by targeting key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, destroying centrifuges and complicating access to an estimated 440 kg stockpile of 60% enriched uranium—enough for roughly 10 bombs if further processed. A February 27 IAEA report highlighted the agency's inability to verify suspension of enrichment activities or inspect bombed facilities, but satellite imagery shows no confirmed resumption, with Iran denying restarts. President Trump announced on April 1 that operations near completion, reinforcing trader consensus at 91.5% "No," though covert rebuilding or stockpile recovery could shift odds amid ongoing bilateral talks and IAEA monitoring efforts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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