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icon for IPO da SpaceX: Elon Musk tocará o sino?

IPO da SpaceX: Elon Musk tocará o sino?

icon for IPO da SpaceX: Elon Musk tocará o sino?

IPO da SpaceX: Elon Musk tocará o sino?

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$141,833 Vol.

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$141,833 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered. Qualifying Requirements: - Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony. - The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange. - The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading. - Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force. Non-qualifying examples: - Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony. - Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf. - Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound. - Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone. - Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony. - Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue. The resolution source will be photos or videos.SpaceX's record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 per share and debuted on Nasdaq today under ticker SPCX, with shares opening at $150 and closing near $161. Traders assign 100% implied probability against Elon Musk ringing the bell because the company staged dual ceremonial events, with Musk delivering remarks and launching trading remotely from Starbase, Texas, rather than appearing in person at the exchange. This approach aligns with prior Musk-led listings and reflects operational realities around the firm's Texas headquarters. No credible last-minute shifts, regulatory hurdles, or technical delays have emerged to alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.

Qualifying Requirements:
- Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony.
- The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange.
- The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading.
- Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force.

Non-qualifying examples:
- Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony.
- Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf.
- Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound.
- Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone.
- Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony.
- Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue.

The resolution source will be photos or videos.
Volume
$141,833
Data de Término
13 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered. Qualifying Requirements: - Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony. - The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange. - The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading. - Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force. Non-qualifying examples: - Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony. - Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf. - Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound. - Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone. - Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony. - Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue. The resolution source will be photos or videos.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered. Qualifying Requirements: - Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony. - The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange. - The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading. - Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force. Non-qualifying examples: - Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony. - Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf. - Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound. - Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone. - Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony. - Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue. The resolution source will be photos or videos.SpaceX's record $75 billion IPO priced at $135 per share and debuted on Nasdaq today under ticker SPCX, with shares opening at $150 and closing near $161. Traders assign 100% implied probability against Elon Musk ringing the bell because the company staged dual ceremonial events, with Musk delivering remarks and launching trading remotely from Starbase, Texas, rather than appearing in person at the exchange. This approach aligns with prior Musk-led listings and reflects operational realities around the firm's Texas headquarters. No credible last-minute shifts, regulatory hurdles, or technical delays have emerged to alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.

Qualifying Requirements:
- Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony.
- The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange.
- The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading.
- Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force.

Non-qualifying examples:
- Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony.
- Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf.
- Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound.
- Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone.
- Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony.
- Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue.

The resolution source will be photos or videos.
Volume
$141,833
Data de Término
13 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:45 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered. Qualifying Requirements: - Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony. - The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange. - The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading. - Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force. Non-qualifying examples: - Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony. - Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf. - Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound. - Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone. - Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony. - Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue. The resolution source will be photos or videos.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"IPO da SpaceX: Elon Musk tocará o sino?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "SpaceX IPO: Elon Musk Vai Tocar o Sino?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IPO da SpaceX: Elon Musk tocará o sino?" has generated $141.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IPO da SpaceX: Elon Musk tocará o sino?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "IPO da SpaceX: Elon Musk tocará o sino?" is "SpaceX IPO: Elon Musk Vai Tocar o Sino?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "IPO da SpaceX: Elon Musk tocará o sino?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.