Skip to main content

Teste Cognitivo previsões e probabilidades

·
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

51

Ends há 4 meses

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

9%

$193K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Russia nuclear test by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

7%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$45.3K Liq.

7

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

U.S. nuclear test by...?

U.S. nuclear test by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$666K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

21

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Test Series Bangladesh vs. Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan

Test Series Bangladesh vs. Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan

52%

Pakistan

$42.0K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

66%

$1.4K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in May 2026?

69%

<2

$5.0K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

8%

Elon Musk

$61.1K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

11

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

33%

50%+

$23.2K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

23%

$66.3K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What price will Ethena hit in May?

What price will Ethena hit in May?

17%

↓ 0.08

$2.3K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

59%

60%+

$35.5K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

4

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

63%

50%+

$312K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

Will Take-Two Q4 net bookings be above __?

94%

$1.50B

$4.2K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

47%

↓ 38

$67.9K Vol.

$41.6K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

94%

Big / Bigger / Biggest

$262 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

38%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$10.8K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 3 horas

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

18%

45%+

$283K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

12

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of May 18 2026?

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of May 18 2026?

74%

↓ $395

$0 Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

83%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Teste Cognitivo.

Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for Teste Cognitivo that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Teste Cognitivo predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.