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Pontuação do Google Gemini no último exame da Humanidade até 30 de junho?

Market icon

Pontuação do Google Gemini no último exame da Humanidade até 30 de junho?

mar 31

mar 31

$264,399 Vol.

28 fev 2026
Polymarket

$264,399 Vol.

Polymarket

40%+

$61,253 Vol.

93%

45%+

$70,091 Vol.

72%

50%+

$71,677 Vol.

39%

55%+

$43,820 Vol.

16%

60%+

$17,558 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google DeepMind's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview currently leads the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard at 45.9% accuracy, a frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert-level questions testing advanced reasoning across math, science, and humanities, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5 Pro (31.6%) and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (34.4%). This positioning stems from March 2026 releases like Gemini 3 Deep Think, which hit 41% without tools via parallel reasoning chains, doubling prior scores amid intensifying AI lab competition. Today's Gemma 4 open models, built on Gemini 3 architecture, signal further reasoning gains. Traders eye Google I/O in May for potential Gemini 4 previews that could breach 50% by June 30, though calibration errors and rapid benchmark evolution introduce uncertainty.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$264,399
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google DeepMind's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview currently leads the Humanity's Last Exam leaderboard at 45.9% accuracy, a frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert-level questions testing advanced reasoning across math, science, and humanities, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5 Pro (31.6%) and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (34.4%). This positioning stems from March 2026 releases like Gemini 3 Deep Think, which hit 41% without tools via parallel reasoning chains, doubling prior scores amid intensifying AI lab competition. Today's Gemma 4 open models, built on Gemini 3 architecture, signal further reasoning gains. Traders eye Google I/O in May for potential Gemini 4 previews that could breach 50% by June 30, though calibration errors and rapid benchmark evolution introduce uncertainty.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$264,399
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pontuação do Google Gemini no último exame da Humanidade até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "40%+" at 93%, followed by "45%+" at 72%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pontuação do Google Gemini no último exame da Humanidade até 30 de junho?" has generated $264.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pontuação do Google Gemini no último exame da Humanidade até 30 de junho?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pontuação do Google Gemini no último exame da Humanidade até 30 de junho?" is "40%+" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "45%+" at 72%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pontuação do Google Gemini no último exame da Humanidade até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.