Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin

Name: Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin
Start: 2025-12-11T18:00:11.174Z
End: 2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z

Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin

Tom Tiffany 85%

Tommy Thompson 6.7%

Andy Manske 1.3%

Tim Michels 1.2%

$12,970 Vol.

Aug 11, 2026

Tom Tiffany

$6,160 Vol.

85%

Tommy Thompson

$0 Vol.

Andy Manske

$0 Vol.

Tim Michels

$0 Vol.

Josh Schoemann

$0 Vol.

Rebecca Kleefisch

$0 Vol.

Sean Duffy

$3,649 Vol.

Eric Hovde

$3,161 Vol.

<1%

Tom Tiffany 85%

Tommy Thompson 6.7%

Andy Manske 1.3%

Tim Michels 1.2%

$12,970 Vol.

Aug 11, 2026

Tom Tiffany

$6,160 Vol.

85%

Tommy Thompson

$0 Vol.

Andy Manske

$0 Vol.

Tim Michels

$0 Vol.

Josh Schoemann

$0 Vol.

Rebecca Kleefisch

$0 Vol.

Sean Duffy

$3,649 Vol.

Eric Hovde

$3,161 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Rep. Tom Tiffany's commanding 84% implied probability as the Republican nominee for Wisconsin governor stems from his November 12 campaign launch, positioning him as the first major candidate in the August 2026 primary and leveraging his incumbency as U.S. Representative for the conservative 7th District. Traders view his strong fundraising start—over $500,000 raised initially—and alignment with Trump-era policies as key advantages in a wide-open field. Former four-term Gov. Tommy Thompson lingers at 7% on speculation of a potential comeback, despite no formal announcement, while others like Andy Manske and Tim Michels see low odds absent recent momentum or endorsements. Early primary dynamics favor established figures, though high-profile entries or polling shifts could reshape the race.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 26, 2026, 6:28 AM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Tiffany" at 85%, followed by "Tommy Thompson" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin" has generated $13K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin" is "Tom Tiffany" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tommy Thompson" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $13K traded on “Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 85¢ for "Tom Tiffany" in the "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 85% chance that "Tom Tiffany" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 85¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 15¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 11, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Wisconsin

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Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

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Frequently Asked Questions

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