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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine

Nirav Shah 38%

Hannah Pingree 26%

Troy Jackson 16%

Shenna Bellows 9.3%

Polymarket

$45,271 Vol.

Nirav Shah 38%

Hannah Pingree 26%

Troy Jackson 16%

Shenna Bellows 9.3%

Polymarket

$45,271 Vol.

Nirav Shah

$5,264 Vol.

38%

Hannah Pingree

$4,215 Vol.

26%

Troy Jackson

$5,582 Vol.

16%

Shenna Bellows

$4,178 Vol.

9%

Angus King III

$3,905 Vol.

4%

Jason Cherry

$19,004 Vol.

<1%

Kenneth Pinet

$3,122 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors former Maine CDC Director Nirav Shah as the Democratic primary frontrunner for governor at 38% implied probability on June 9, driven by his leads in recent polls—including a March Impact Research survey commissioned by rival Troy Jackson showing Shah ahead 31%-18% on initial ballot tests—and endorsements from health care leaders amid Maine's focus on public health challenges. Hannah Pingree holds second at 25.5% with top Democratic fundraising of over $1.4 million and legislative experience as former House Speaker, while Senate President Troy Jackson trails at 16.5% leveraging populist messaging in recent forums like the March 27 young voters debate. Secretary of State Shenna Bellows sits at 9.3%, buoyed by name recognition from her ballot disqualification role, in this open-seat race succeeding term-limited Gov. Janet Mills; further debates and voter turnout in this crowded field could tip balances before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$45,271
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors former Maine CDC Director Nirav Shah as the Democratic primary frontrunner for governor at 38% implied probability on June 9, driven by his leads in recent polls—including a March Impact Research survey commissioned by rival Troy Jackson showing Shah ahead 31%-18% on initial ballot tests—and endorsements from health care leaders amid Maine's focus on public health challenges. Hannah Pingree holds second at 25.5% with top Democratic fundraising of over $1.4 million and legislative experience as former House Speaker, while Senate President Troy Jackson trails at 16.5% leveraging populist messaging in recent forums like the March 27 young voters debate. Secretary of State Shenna Bellows sits at 9.3%, buoyed by name recognition from her ballot disqualification role, in this open-seat race succeeding term-limited Gov. Janet Mills; further debates and voter turnout in this crowded field could tip balances before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$45,271
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nirav Shah" at 38%, followed by "Hannah Pingree" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" has generated $45.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" is "Nirav Shah" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hannah Pingree" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.