Trader consensus prices high probabilities on President Trump engaging Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (67%) and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) in April diplomatic talks, driven by the ongoing US-Iran conflict and a recent White House pause on airstrikes against Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and backchannel negotiations. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (64%) and French President Emmanuel Macron (62%) follow closely, reflecting alliance coordination needs as the war strains transatlantic relations. Launched March 24 after initial escalations, the market anticipates de-escalation outreach, with lower odds on Xi Jinping (37%) following delays in US-China summit plans to mid-May; resolution hinges on confirmed calls or meetings via official announcements by April 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$10,745 Vol.

Mark Rutte
78%

Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Emmanuel Macron
66%

Keir Starmer
65%

Lula da Silva
59%

Friedrich Merz
57%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
54%

Vladimir Putin
54%

Ursula von der Leyen
52%

Mark Carney
48%

Xi Jinping
37%

Maria Corina Machado
28%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
14%

Masoud Pezeshkian
13%

Nicolás Maduro
6%

Reza Pahlavi
10%

Kim Jong Un
4%

Yoon Suk Yeol
3%

Elon Musk
50%
$10,745 Vol.

Mark Rutte
78%

Mohammed bin Salman
67%

Emmanuel Macron
66%

Keir Starmer
65%

Lula da Silva
59%

Friedrich Merz
57%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
54%

Vladimir Putin
54%

Ursula von der Leyen
52%

Mark Carney
48%

Xi Jinping
37%

Maria Corina Machado
28%

Ahmed al-Sharaa
14%

Masoud Pezeshkian
13%

Nicolás Maduro
6%

Reza Pahlavi
10%

Kim Jong Un
4%

Yoon Suk Yeol
3%

Elon Musk
50%
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices high probabilities on President Trump engaging Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (67%) and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer (65%) in April diplomatic talks, driven by the ongoing US-Iran conflict and a recent White House pause on airstrikes against Iranian energy infrastructure until April 6 amid Strait of Hormuz tensions and backchannel negotiations. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte (64%) and French President Emmanuel Macron (62%) follow closely, reflecting alliance coordination needs as the war strains transatlantic relations. Launched March 24 after initial escalations, the market anticipates de-escalation outreach, with lower odds on Xi Jinping (37%) following delays in US-China summit plans to mid-May; resolution hinges on confirmed calls or meetings via official announcements by April 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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