President Trump's ongoing commentary on the U.S. military operation against Iran drives trader consensus in this prediction market, with implied probabilities around 17-18% for phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "finish the job." In his March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami and a Truth Social post, Trump described the Iran campaign as "going GREAT," claimed the regime is "being decimated," and signaled potential de-escalation once objectives are met. No public schedule is set for March 29-April 5, but weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago amid nationwide "No Kings" protests and recent Iranian drone strikes on Kuwait could prompt Truth Social posts or press gaggles on foreign policy, border security, or domestic unrest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$472,364 Vol.
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
12%
Kaitlan Collins
4%
Eat our Lunch
6%
Ethanol
9%
Embargo
14%
Finish the Job
14%
Khamenei
7%
Chuck Norris
3%
$472,364 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$15,456 Vol.
12%
Kaitlan Collins
$4,389 Vol.
4%
Eat our Lunch
$1,678 Vol.
6%
Ethanol
$11,226 Vol.
9%
Embargo
$8,522 Vol.
14%
Finish the Job
$3,634 Vol.
14%
Khamenei
$52,843 Vol.
7%
Chuck Norris
$8,074 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's ongoing commentary on the U.S. military operation against Iran drives trader consensus in this prediction market, with implied probabilities around 17-18% for phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "finish the job." In his March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami and a Truth Social post, Trump described the Iran campaign as "going GREAT," claimed the regime is "being decimated," and signaled potential de-escalation once objectives are met. No public schedule is set for March 29-April 5, but weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago amid nationwide "No Kings" protests and recent Iranian drone strikes on Kuwait could prompt Truth Social posts or press gaggles on foreign policy, border security, or domestic unrest.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$472,364Data de Término
Mar 29, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's ongoing commentary on the U.S. military operation against Iran drives trader consensus in this prediction market, with implied probabilities around 17-18% for phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "finish the job." In his March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami and a Truth Social post, Trump described the Iran campaign as "going GREAT," claimed the regime is "being decimated," and signaled potential de-escalation once objectives are met. No public schedule is set for March 29-April 5, but weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago amid nationwide "No Kings" protests and recent Iranian drone strikes on Kuwait could prompt Truth Social posts or press gaggles on foreign policy, border security, or domestic unrest.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$472,364Data de Término
Mar 29, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's ongoing commentary on the U.S. military operation against Iran drives trader consensus in this prediction market, with implied probabilities around 17-18% for phrases like "Khamenei," "paid a big price," and "finish the job." In his March 27 remarks at the Future Investment Initiative in Miami and a Truth Social post, Trump described the Iran campaign as "going GREAT," claimed the regime is "being decimated," and signaled potential de-escalation once objectives are met. No public schedule is set for March 29-April 5, but weekend executive time at Mar-a-Lago amid nationwide "No Kings" protests and recent Iranian drone strikes on Kuwait could prompt Truth Social posts or press gaggles on foreign policy, border security, or domestic unrest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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