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Eleições·4 De Novembro Eleições

Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-21

Market icon
Eleições·4 De Novembro Eleições

Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-21

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Partido Republicano

$7,644 Vol.

85%

Partido Democrata

$0 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-21 House seat, vacated by incumbent Chip Roy for his Texas attorney general bid, favors Republicans at 84.5% implied probability following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant 63% win in the March 3 Republican primary over a crowded field. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where Donald Trump carried 59% in 2024, underscores its safe Republican status, with no general election polls indicating competitiveness against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, the 2024 loser here. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, reflecting trader consensus on GOP structural advantages absent major shifts before the November 3 general election.

The open TX-21 House seat, vacated by incumbent Chip Roy for his Texas attorney general bid, favors Republicans at 84.5% implied probability following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant 63% win in the March 3 Republican primary over a crowded field. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where Donald Trump carried 59% in 2024, underscores its safe Republican status, with no general election polls indicating competitiveness against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, the 2024 loser here. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, reflecting trader consensus on GOP structural advantages absent major shifts before the November 3 general election.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-21 House seat, vacated by incumbent Chip Roy for his Texas attorney general bid, favors Republicans at 84.5% implied probability following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant 63% win in the March 3 Republican primary over a crowded field. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where Donald Trump carried 59% in 2024, underscores its safe Republican status, with no general election polls indicating competitiveness against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, the 2024 loser here. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, reflecting trader consensus on GOP structural advantages absent major shifts before the November 3 general election.

The open TX-21 House seat, vacated by incumbent Chip Roy for his Texas attorney general bid, favors Republicans at 84.5% implied probability following former MLB star Mark Teixeira's dominant 63% win in the March 3 Republican primary over a crowded field. The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, where Donald Trump carried 59% in 2024, underscores its safe Republican status, with no general election polls indicating competitiveness against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, the 2024 loser here. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, reflecting trader consensus on GOP structural advantages absent major shifts before the November 3 general election.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-21" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Partido Republicano" at 85%, followed by "Partido Democrata" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-21" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-21," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-21" is "Partido Republicano" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Partido Democrata" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-21" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.