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Política·Eleições Mundiais

Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025

Market icon
Política·Eleições Mundiais

Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025

55-60% 71.2%

<55% 17.9%

60-65% 3.9%

Polymarket

$1,585,586 Vol.

55-60% 71.2%

<55% 17.9%

60-65% 3.9%

Polymarket

$1,585,586 Vol.

<55%

$391,566 Vol.

18%

55-60%

$184,061 Vol.

71%

60-65%

$364,748 Vol.

4%

Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout at 71% implied probability for the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election, driven by post-election disputes over official Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) figures amid fraud allegations, biometric system failures impacting elderly voters, low overseas participation (only 6,553 abroad), and 306 unprocessed ballots adding 132,000 votes. Media analyses in January 2026 pegged turnout at 60.19%—3.93 million voters from 6.52 million registered, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.6% and near historical 61% average—but CNE preliminary data suggested 58-59%, fueling skepticism and positioning the lower bin ahead while higher ranges lag due to resolution uncertainties.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout at 71% implied probability for the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election, driven by post-election disputes over official Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) figures amid fraud allegations, biometric system failures impacting elderly voters, low overseas participation (only 6,553 abroad), and 306 unprocessed ballots adding 132,000 votes. Media analyses in January 2026 pegged turnout at 60.19%—3.93 million voters from 6.52 million registered, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.6% and near historical 61% average—but CNE preliminary data suggested 58-59%, fueling skepticism and positioning the lower bin ahead while higher ranges lag due to resolution uncertainties.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout at 71% implied probability for the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election, driven by post-election disputes over official Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) figures amid fraud allegations, biometric system failures impacting elderly voters, low overseas participation (only 6,553 abroad), and 306 unprocessed ballots adding 132,000 votes. Media analyses in January 2026 pegged turnout at 60.19%—3.93 million voters from 6.52 million registered, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.6% and near historical 61% average—but CNE preliminary data suggested 58-59%, fueling skepticism and positioning the lower bin ahead while higher ranges lag due to resolution uncertainties.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout at 71% implied probability for the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election, driven by post-election disputes over official Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) figures amid fraud allegations, biometric system failures impacting elderly voters, low overseas participation (only 6,553 abroad), and 306 unprocessed ballots adding 132,000 votes. Media analyses in January 2026 pegged turnout at 60.19%—3.93 million voters from 6.52 million registered, down 8.4 points from 2021's 68.6% and near historical 61% average—but CNE preliminary data suggested 58-59%, fueling skepticism and positioning the lower bin ahead while higher ranges lag due to resolution uncertainties.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "55-60%" at 71%, followed by "<55%" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025" is "55-60%" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<55%" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Participação nas eleições gerais hondurenhas de 2025" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.