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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul

Dusty Johnson 51%

Toby Doeden 39%

Larry Rhoden 8%

Jon Hansen 1.3%

Polymarket

$14,694 Vol.

Dusty Johnson 51%

Toby Doeden 39%

Larry Rhoden 8%

Jon Hansen 1.3%

Polymarket

$14,694 Vol.

Dusty Johnson

$2,768 Vol.

51%

Toby Doeden

$4,733 Vol.

39%

Larry Rhoden

$5,990 Vol.

8%

Jon Hansen

$1,202 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson holds a slight edge in trader consensus at 51% implied probability for the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his lead in the March Emerson College poll (28% to Toby Doeden's 18%, Larry Rhoden's 17%, and Jon Hansen's 14% among likely GOP voters, with 23% undecided). High undecideds and the 35% threshold for avoiding a top-two runoff keep the race competitive, favoring a Johnson-Doeden showdown. Yesterday's first televised debate amplified divisions over sales tax hikes for property tax relief, with Johnson attacking Rhoden—the acting governor after Kristi Noem's departure—and Hansen's records, while Doeden positioned as a business outsider. Early voting begins April 17, with momentum and name recognition bolstering Johnson's position amid Rhoden's skepticism in GOP circles.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$14,694
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson holds a slight edge in trader consensus at 51% implied probability for the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary on June 2, driven by his lead in the March Emerson College poll (28% to Toby Doeden's 18%, Larry Rhoden's 17%, and Jon Hansen's 14% among likely GOP voters, with 23% undecided). High undecideds and the 35% threshold for avoiding a top-two runoff keep the race competitive, favoring a Johnson-Doeden showdown. Yesterday's first televised debate amplified divisions over sales tax hikes for property tax relief, with Johnson attacking Rhoden—the acting governor after Kristi Noem's departure—and Hansen's records, while Doeden positioned as a business outsider. Early voting begins April 17, with momentum and name recognition bolstering Johnson's position amid Rhoden's skepticism in GOP circles.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$14,694
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dusty Johnson" at 51%, followed by "Toby Doeden" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" has generated $14.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" is "Dusty Johnson" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Toby Doeden" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador da Dakota do Sul" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.