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Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul

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Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul

Lindsey Graham 83%

Paul Dans 10%

Mark Lynch 8.2%

Thomas Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$32,697 Vol.

Lindsey Graham 83%

Paul Dans 10%

Mark Lynch 8.2%

Thomas Murphy <1%

Polymarket

$32,697 Vol.

Lindsey Graham

$14,164 Vol.

83%

Paul Dans

$13,746 Vol.

10%

Mark Lynch

$2,902 Vol.

8%

Thomas Murphy

$1,885 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Lindsey Graham commands an 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage, decades of experience, Trump endorsement, and fundraising dominance in a solidly red state where historical base rates favor sitting senators. Recent challenger-sponsored polls over the past week, including Rasmussen and Pulse Opinion Research, show Graham dipping below the 50% threshold needed to avoid a June 23 runoff—often at 41-48%—with Paul Dans (Project 2025 architect) and businessman Mark Lynch gaining traction at 20-29% by criticizing Graham's hawkish foreign policy, H-1B visa expansions, and national debt growth as deviations from America First priorities. Dans's new ad and Lynch's surge highlight voter negatives, though no major developments in the last 48 hours or tomorrow's filing deadline have overturned Graham's lead.

Incumbent Lindsey Graham commands an 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage, decades of experience, Trump endorsement, and fundraising dominance in a solidly red state where historical base rates favor sitting senators. Recent challenger-sponsored polls over the past week, including Rasmussen and Pulse Opinion Research, show Graham dipping below the 50% threshold needed to avoid a June 23 runoff—often at 41-48%—with Paul Dans (Project 2025 architect) and businessman Mark Lynch gaining traction at 20-29% by criticizing Graham's hawkish foreign policy, H-1B visa expansions, and national debt growth as deviations from America First priorities. Dans's new ad and Lynch's surge highlight voter negatives, though no major developments in the last 48 hours or tomorrow's filing deadline have overturned Graham's lead.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Lindsey Graham commands an 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage, decades of experience, Trump endorsement, and fundraising dominance in a solidly red state where historical base rates favor sitting senators. Recent challenger-sponsored polls over the past week, including Rasmussen and Pulse Opinion Research, show Graham dipping below the 50% threshold needed to avoid a June 23 runoff—often at 41-48%—with Paul Dans (Project 2025 architect) and businessman Mark Lynch gaining traction at 20-29% by criticizing Graham's hawkish foreign policy, H-1B visa expansions, and national debt growth as deviations from America First priorities. Dans's new ad and Lynch's surge highlight voter negatives, though no major developments in the last 48 hours or tomorrow's filing deadline have overturned Graham's lead.

Incumbent Lindsey Graham commands an 83.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the South Carolina Republican Senate primary on June 9, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage, decades of experience, Trump endorsement, and fundraising dominance in a solidly red state where historical base rates favor sitting senators. Recent challenger-sponsored polls over the past week, including Rasmussen and Pulse Opinion Research, show Graham dipping below the 50% threshold needed to avoid a June 23 runoff—often at 41-48%—with Paul Dans (Project 2025 architect) and businessman Mark Lynch gaining traction at 20-29% by criticizing Graham's hawkish foreign policy, H-1B visa expansions, and national debt growth as deviations from America First priorities. Dans's new ad and Lynch's surge highlight voter negatives, though no major developments in the last 48 hours or tomorrow's filing deadline have overturned Graham's lead.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lindsey Graham" at 83%, followed by "Paul Dans" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul" has generated $32.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul" is "Lindsey Graham" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paul Dans" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado da Carolina do Sul" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.