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Política·Primárias

PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Market icon
Política·Primárias

PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas

Chris Rabb 35.8%

Sharif Street 32%

Ala Stanford 28.1%

Morgan Cephas 3.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Chris Rabb 35.8%

Sharif Street 32%

Ala Stanford 28.1%

Morgan Cephas 3.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Chris Rabb

$0 Vol.

37%

Sharif Street

$0 Vol.

36%

Ala Stanford

$0 Vol.

28%

Morgan Cephas

$0 Vol.

4%

Robin Toldens

$0 Vol.

3%

David Oxman

$0 Vol.

2%

Gabriel Caceres

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Chris Rabb and state Sen. Sharif Street hold narrow leads in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, reflecting a fragmented electorate in the heavily Democratic Philly-based seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans. Rabb's surge stems from recent endorsements by Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, Philly DSA, and progressive councilmembers like Kendra Brooks and Nicolas O’Rourke, consolidating left-wing support amid ongoing forums and early ads. Street relies on Philly Democratic Party backing, Black Clergy, building trades unions, and ward leaders, while Dr. Ala Stanford benefits from Evans' endorsement and recent dropout support from Dave Oxman. State Rep. Morgan Cephas' abrupt withdrawal narrows the field to seven, potentially consolidating moderate votes but heightening uncertainty; late endorsements, turnout among key blocs, or internal polling could tip the balance in this no-polls race.

State Rep. Chris Rabb and state Sen. Sharif Street hold narrow leads in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, reflecting a fragmented electorate in the heavily Democratic Philly-based seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans. Rabb's surge stems from recent endorsements by Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, Philly DSA, and progressive councilmembers like Kendra Brooks and Nicolas O’Rourke, consolidating left-wing support amid ongoing forums and early ads. Street relies on Philly Democratic Party backing, Black Clergy, building trades unions, and ward leaders, while Dr. Ala Stanford benefits from Evans' endorsement and recent dropout support from Dave Oxman. State Rep. Morgan Cephas' abrupt withdrawal narrows the field to seven, potentially consolidating moderate votes but heightening uncertainty; late endorsements, turnout among key blocs, or internal polling could tip the balance in this no-polls race.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Chris Rabb and state Sen. Sharif Street hold narrow leads in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, reflecting a fragmented electorate in the heavily Democratic Philly-based seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans. Rabb's surge stems from recent endorsements by Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, Philly DSA, and progressive councilmembers like Kendra Brooks and Nicolas O’Rourke, consolidating left-wing support amid ongoing forums and early ads. Street relies on Philly Democratic Party backing, Black Clergy, building trades unions, and ward leaders, while Dr. Ala Stanford benefits from Evans' endorsement and recent dropout support from Dave Oxman. State Rep. Morgan Cephas' abrupt withdrawal narrows the field to seven, potentially consolidating moderate votes but heightening uncertainty; late endorsements, turnout among key blocs, or internal polling could tip the balance in this no-polls race.

State Rep. Chris Rabb and state Sen. Sharif Street hold narrow leads in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 19, reflecting a fragmented electorate in the heavily Democratic Philly-based seat vacated by retiring Rep. Dwight Evans. Rabb's surge stems from recent endorsements by Justice Democrats, Working Families Party, Philly DSA, and progressive councilmembers like Kendra Brooks and Nicolas O’Rourke, consolidating left-wing support amid ongoing forums and early ads. Street relies on Philly Democratic Party backing, Black Clergy, building trades unions, and ward leaders, while Dr. Ala Stanford benefits from Evans' endorsement and recent dropout support from Dave Oxman. State Rep. Morgan Cephas' abrupt withdrawal narrows the field to seven, potentially consolidating moderate votes but heightening uncertainty; late endorsements, turnout among key blocs, or internal polling could tip the balance in this no-polls race.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Rabb" at 37%, followed by "Sharif Street" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 25, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" is "Chris Rabb" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sharif Street" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-03 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.