Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing much of urban Columbus with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain the House seat. Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty, seeking reelection after 70% general election margins and unopposed primaries historically, holds a commanding $2.7 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late 2025, facing only underfunded challenger Joe Gerard ahead of the May 5 primary. The Republican side features lone candidate Cleophus Dulaney, lacking visibility or resources in this Solid Democratic-rated race per Cook Political Report. While late scandals, a high-profile GOP nominee emergence post-primary, or an extreme national midterm wave could shift odds, historical precedents for such safe seats favor continuity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoOH-03 House Election Winner
OH-03 House Election Winner
$16,642 Vol.
$16,642 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$16,642 Vol.
$16,642 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,642 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing much of urban Columbus with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain the House seat. Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty, seeking reelection after 70% general election margins and unopposed primaries historically, holds a commanding $2.7 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late 2025, facing only underfunded challenger Joe Gerard ahead of the May 5 primary. The Republican side features lone candidate Cleophus Dulaney, lacking visibility or resources in this Solid Democratic-rated race per Cook Political Report. While late scandals, a high-profile GOP nominee emergence post-primary, or an extreme national midterm wave could shift odds, historical precedents for such safe seats favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$16,642Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing much of urban Columbus with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain the House seat. Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty, seeking reelection after 70% general election margins and unopposed primaries historically, holds a commanding $2.7 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late 2025, facing only underfunded challenger Joe Gerard ahead of the May 5 primary. The Republican side features lone candidate Cleophus Dulaney, lacking visibility or resources in this Solid Democratic-rated race per Cook Political Report. While late scandals, a high-profile GOP nominee emergence post-primary, or an extreme national midterm wave could shift odds, historical precedents for such safe seats favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,642Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 3rd Congressional District, encompassing much of urban Columbus with a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain the House seat. Incumbent Rep. Joyce Beatty, seeking reelection after 70% general election margins and unopposed primaries historically, holds a commanding $2.7 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late 2025, facing only underfunded challenger Joe Gerard ahead of the May 5 primary. The Republican side features lone candidate Cleophus Dulaney, lacking visibility or resources in this Solid Democratic-rated race per Cook Political Report. While late scandals, a high-profile GOP nominee emergence post-primary, or an extreme national midterm wave could shift odds, historical precedents for such safe seats favor continuity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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