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Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

Market icon
Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12

Brad Cohen 42%

Susan Altman 17%

Adam Hamawy 6%

Adrian Mapp 4.1%

Polymarket

$16,013 Vol.

Brad Cohen 42%

Susan Altman 17%

Adam Hamawy 6%

Adrian Mapp 4.1%

Polymarket

$16,013 Vol.

Brad Cohen

$0 Vol.

42%

Susan Altman

$14,124 Vol.

20%

Adam Hamawy

$0 Vol.

6%

Adrian Mapp

$0 Vol.

4%

Matthew Adams

$0 Vol.

4%

Elijah Dixon

$0 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$0 Vol.

2%

Raymond Heck

$0 Vol.

2%

Michael Anderson

$1,889 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$0 Vol.

1%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$0 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat left by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus gives East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen a 39% implied probability lead following his dominant Middlesex County Democratic endorsement on March 11—the district's most populous county bolstering his early fundraising edge. Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson holds 31.5% with Mercer County's February backing, while Sue Altman sits at 22.5% on explosive launch fundraising over $250,000 and Princeton progressive support, fragmenting votes in a crowded 17-candidate field. No public polls exist; upcoming Somerset County convention, candidate forums, and Q1 FEC reports ahead of the June 2 primary could consolidate support and create separation.

In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat left by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus gives East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen a 39% implied probability lead following his dominant Middlesex County Democratic endorsement on March 11—the district's most populous county bolstering his early fundraising edge. Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson holds 31.5% with Mercer County's February backing, while Sue Altman sits at 22.5% on explosive launch fundraising over $250,000 and Princeton progressive support, fragmenting votes in a crowded 17-candidate field. No public polls exist; upcoming Somerset County convention, candidate forums, and Q1 FEC reports ahead of the June 2 primary could consolidate support and create separation.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat left by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus gives East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen a 39% implied probability lead following his dominant Middlesex County Democratic endorsement on March 11—the district's most populous county bolstering his early fundraising edge. Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson holds 31.5% with Mercer County's February backing, while Sue Altman sits at 22.5% on explosive launch fundraising over $250,000 and Princeton progressive support, fragmenting votes in a crowded 17-candidate field. No public polls exist; upcoming Somerset County convention, candidate forums, and Q1 FEC reports ahead of the June 2 primary could consolidate support and create separation.

In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat left by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, trader consensus gives East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen a 39% implied probability lead following his dominant Middlesex County Democratic endorsement on March 11—the district's most populous county bolstering his early fundraising edge. Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson holds 31.5% with Mercer County's February backing, while Sue Altman sits at 22.5% on explosive launch fundraising over $250,000 and Princeton progressive support, fragmenting votes in a crowded 17-candidate field. No public polls exist; upcoming Somerset County convention, candidate forums, and Q1 FEC reports ahead of the June 2 primary could consolidate support and create separation.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brad Cohen" at 42%, followed by "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" has generated $16K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" is "Brad Cohen" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata NJ-12" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.