Recent municipal elections on March 15-22 boosted National Rally momentum with gains in Nice and a strong Marseille showing, while Édouard Philippe's decisive Le Havre mayoral reelection by over six points fortified his center-right bid as Bardella's chief rival. Latest Elabe/BFMTV polls confirm Bardella atop first-round intentions at 35-38%, Philippe second at 22-31%, and a fragmented left capping Mélenchon at 10-13% and Glucksmann around 14%, mirroring trader consensus in this closely contested post-Macron race amid term limits. Philippe holds slim second-round edges in some surveys, but Les Républicains' primary decision, centrist consolidations, or economic shifts could create separation before the 2027 presidential vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPróximas eleições presidenciais francesas
Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas
Jordan Bardella 25%
Édouard Philippe 22%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 9%
Marine Le Pen 8%
$22,143,816 Vol.
$22,143,816 Vol.
Apr 30, 2027
Jordan Bardella
25%
Édouard Philippe
22%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
9%
Marine Le Pen
8%
Raphaël Glucksmann
5%
Dominique de Villepin
5%
Bruno Retailleau
3%
François Hollande
3%
Sarah Knafo
3%
Gabriel Attal
3%
David Lisnard
3%
Valérie Pécresse
2%
Sébastien Lecornu
2%
Gérald Darmanin
1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
1%
Jean Castex
1%
Éric Zemmour
1%
Juan Branco
1%
Bernard Cazeneuve
1%
François Ruffin
1%
Marine Tondelier
1%
Xavier Bertrand
<1%
Manuel Bompard
<1%
Laurent Wauquiez
<1%
Fabien Roussel
<1%
François Asselineau
<1%
Élisabeth Borne
<1%
Olivier Faure
<1%
Ségolène Royal
<1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Michel Barnier
<1%
François Bayrou
<1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
<1%
Clémence Guetté
<1%
Carole Delga
<1%
Mathilde Panot
<1%
Jordan Bardella 25%
Édouard Philippe 22%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 9%
Marine Le Pen 8%
$22,143,816 Vol.
$22,143,816 Vol.
Apr 30, 2027
Jordan Bardella
$588,889 Vol.
25%
Édouard Philippe
$363,446 Vol.
22%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$210,170 Vol.
9%
Marine Le Pen
$279,075 Vol.
8%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$430,196 Vol.
5%
Dominique de Villepin
$775,078 Vol.
5%
Bruno Retailleau
$862,068 Vol.
3%
François Hollande
$519,150 Vol.
3%
Sarah Knafo
$919,339 Vol.
3%
Gabriel Attal
$802,795 Vol.
3%
David Lisnard
$630,100 Vol.
3%
Valérie Pécresse
$869,245 Vol.
2%
Sébastien Lecornu
$568,171 Vol.
2%
Gérald Darmanin
$299,792 Vol.
1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$1,084,505 Vol.
1%
Jean Castex
$433,616 Vol.
1%
Éric Zemmour
$326,556 Vol.
1%
Juan Branco
$245,425 Vol.
1%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$245,907 Vol.
1%
François Ruffin
$275,844 Vol.
1%
Marine Tondelier
$315,543 Vol.
1%
Xavier Bertrand
$415,973 Vol.
<1%
Manuel Bompard
$668,801 Vol.
<1%
Laurent Wauquiez
$236,754 Vol.
<1%
Fabien Roussel
$807,856 Vol.
<1%
François Asselineau
$940,542 Vol.
<1%
Élisabeth Borne
$811,172 Vol.
<1%
Olivier Faure
$618,904 Vol.
<1%
Ségolène Royal
$813,182 Vol.
<1%
Clémentine Autain
$1,149,840 Vol.
<1%
Michel Barnier
$723,552 Vol.
<1%
François Bayrou
$747,594 Vol.
<1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$611,044 Vol.
<1%
Clémence Guetté
$884,926 Vol.
<1%
Carole Delga
$672,312 Vol.
<1%
Mathilde Panot
$997,018 Vol.
<1%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent municipal elections on March 15-22 boosted National Rally momentum with gains in Nice and a strong Marseille showing, while Édouard Philippe's decisive Le Havre mayoral reelection by over six points fortified his center-right bid as Bardella's chief rival. Latest Elabe/BFMTV polls confirm Bardella atop first-round intentions at 35-38%, Philippe second at 22-31%, and a fragmented left capping Mélenchon at 10-13% and Glucksmann around 14%, mirroring trader consensus in this closely contested post-Macron race amid term limits. Philippe holds slim second-round edges in some surveys, but Les Républicains' primary decision, centrist consolidations, or economic shifts could create separation before the 2027 presidential vote.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$22,143,816Data de Término
Apr 30, 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent municipal elections on March 15-22 boosted National Rally momentum with gains in Nice and a strong Marseille showing, while Édouard Philippe's decisive Le Havre mayoral reelection by over six points fortified his center-right bid as Bardella's chief rival. Latest Elabe/BFMTV polls confirm Bardella atop first-round intentions at 35-38%, Philippe second at 22-31%, and a fragmented left capping Mélenchon at 10-13% and Glucksmann around 14%, mirroring trader consensus in this closely contested post-Macron race amid term limits. Philippe holds slim second-round edges in some surveys, but Les Républicains' primary decision, centrist consolidations, or economic shifts could create separation before the 2027 presidential vote.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$22,143,816Data de Término
Apr 30, 2027Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent municipal elections on March 15-22 boosted National Rally momentum with gains in Nice and a strong Marseille showing, while Édouard Philippe's decisive Le Havre mayoral reelection by over six points fortified his center-right bid as Bardella's chief rival. Latest Elabe/BFMTV polls confirm Bardella atop first-round intentions at 35-38%, Philippe second at 22-31%, and a fragmented left capping Mélenchon at 10-13% and Glucksmann around 14%, mirroring trader consensus in this closely contested post-Macron race amid term limits. Philippe holds slim second-round edges in some surveys, but Les Républicains' primary decision, centrist consolidations, or economic shifts could create separation before the 2027 presidential vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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