Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

Name: Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas
Start: 2025-11-13T23:10:18.574Z
End: 2027-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas — Discussão

nicoco89 · 2025-11-13T23:10:18.574Z

Discussão sobre Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas. Os traders compartilham insights e previsões no Polymarket.

Eleições·Eleições Globais

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

Jordan Bardella 25%

Édouard Philippe 24%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 9%

Marine Le Pen 8%

$22,756,497 Vol.

Apr 30, 2027

Jordan Bardella

$589,811 Vol.

25%

Édouard Philippe

$368,756 Vol.

24%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$210,852 Vol.

Marine Le Pen

$279,727 Vol.

Dominique de Villepin

$781,124 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$435,339 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$929,382 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$868,316 Vol.

François Hollande

$525,254 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$812,613 Vol.

David Lisnard

$639,687 Vol.

Sébastien Lecornu

$569,460 Vol.

Gérald Darmanin

$300,987 Vol.

Jean Castex

$438,426 Vol.

Éric Zemmour

$326,876 Vol.

Valérie Pécresse

$870,951 Vol.

Juan Branco

$245,948 Vol.

Bernard Cazeneuve

$246,432 Vol.

François Ruffin

$276,053 Vol.

Marine Tondelier

$315,712 Vol.

Laurent Wauquiez

$280,383 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$808,609 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$1,020,435 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,101,687 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$869,467 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$684,198 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$416,965 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$632,634 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$816,430 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$1,188,077 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$734,951 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$849,822 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$685,477 Vol.

<1%

Clémence Guetté

$964,577 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$673,640 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$998,046 Vol.

<1%

Jordan Bardella 25%

Édouard Philippe 24%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 9%

Marine Le Pen 8%

$22,756,497 Vol.

Apr 30, 2027

Jordan Bardella

$589,811 Vol.

25%

Édouard Philippe

$368,756 Vol.

24%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$210,852 Vol.

Marine Le Pen

$279,727 Vol.

Dominique de Villepin

$781,124 Vol.

Raphaël Glucksmann

$435,339 Vol.

Sarah Knafo

$929,382 Vol.

Bruno Retailleau

$868,316 Vol.

François Hollande

$525,254 Vol.

Gabriel Attal

$812,613 Vol.

David Lisnard

$639,687 Vol.

Sébastien Lecornu

$569,460 Vol.

Gérald Darmanin

$300,987 Vol.

Jean Castex

$438,426 Vol.

Éric Zemmour

$326,876 Vol.

Valérie Pécresse

$870,951 Vol.

Juan Branco

$245,948 Vol.

Bernard Cazeneuve

$246,432 Vol.

François Ruffin

$276,053 Vol.

Marine Tondelier

$315,712 Vol.

Laurent Wauquiez

$280,383 Vol.

<1%

Fabien Roussel

$808,609 Vol.

<1%

François Asselineau

$1,020,435 Vol.

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,101,687 Vol.

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

$869,467 Vol.

<1%

Manuel Bompard

$684,198 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

$416,965 Vol.

<1%

Olivier Faure

$632,634 Vol.

<1%

Ségolène Royal

$816,430 Vol.

<1%

Clémentine Autain

$1,188,077 Vol.

<1%

Michel Barnier

$734,951 Vol.

<1%

François Bayrou

$849,822 Vol.

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$685,477 Vol.

<1%

Clémence Guetté

$964,577 Vol.

<1%

Carole Delga

$673,640 Vol.

<1%

Mathilde Panot

$998,046 Vol.

<1%

Recent municipal elections on March 15-22 highlighted a fragmented French political landscape ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, with National Rally under Jordan Bardella securing gains in small towns but failing to capture major cities like Marseille and Lyon, where centrists and left alliances held firm. Édouard Philippe's decisive reelection as Le Havre mayor bolstered his center-right Horizons profile, positioning him as Bardella's closest challenger in trader consensus. A fresh BFMTV-Elabe poll shows Bardella leading the first round at around 35% but trailing Philippe in a potential runoff, reflecting voter anti-far-right consolidation. Left fragmentation caps Mélenchon, while Marine Le Pen's legal ineligibility sidelines her. Primaries, endorsements, or economic shifts could widen the Bardella-Philippe gap before April 2027.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 29, 2026, 7:16 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jordan Bardella" at 25%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" has generated $22.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" is "Jordan Bardella" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $22.8 million traded on “Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 25¢ for "Jordan Bardella" in the "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 25% chance that "Jordan Bardella" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 25¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 75¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Apr 30, 2027 — that's roughly over 1 year away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

The "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas" market has an active community of 346 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

Próximas eleições presidenciais francesas

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (346)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

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