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Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York

Market icon
Eleições·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York

Bruce Blakeman 92%

Pat Hahn 3.8%

Elise Stefanik 2.1%

David Tulley 1.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Bruce Blakeman 92%

Pat Hahn 3.8%

Elise Stefanik 2.1%

David Tulley 1.2%

Polymarket
NEW

Bruce Blakeman

$0 Vol.

92%

Pat Hahn

$0 Vol.

4%

Elise Stefanik

$0 Vol.

2%

David Tulley

$6,144 Vol.

1%

Betsy McCaughey

$1,826 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman commands 91.5% trader consensus as the New York Republican gubernatorial primary winner due to his unchallenged endorsement and formal acceptance of the state GOP nomination at the February 2026 party convention, securing unified party backing ahead of the June 23 primary.** Recent internal GOP polling from late March shows him trailing Gov. Kathy Hochul by just nine points among likely voters, fueling optimism and solidifying his frontrunner status over minor challengers like Rep. Elise Stefanik (2%), Pat Hahn (3.8%), David Tulley (1.1%), and Betsy McCaughey (0.3%). With the April 6 filing deadline passed without major entrants, his position reflects strong incumbency-like advantages in Nassau County and low challenger viability; late-breaking scandals, high-profile defections, or Stefanik's surprise momentum could still shift odds before primary day.

**Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman commands 91.5% trader consensus as the New York Republican gubernatorial primary winner due to his unchallenged endorsement and formal acceptance of the state GOP nomination at the February 2026 party convention, securing unified party backing ahead of the June 23 primary.** Recent internal GOP polling from late March shows him trailing Gov. Kathy Hochul by just nine points among likely voters, fueling optimism and solidifying his frontrunner status over minor challengers like Rep. Elise Stefanik (2%), Pat Hahn (3.8%), David Tulley (1.1%), and Betsy McCaughey (0.3%). With the April 6 filing deadline passed without major entrants, his position reflects strong incumbency-like advantages in Nassau County and low challenger viability; late-breaking scandals, high-profile defections, or Stefanik's surprise momentum could still shift odds before primary day.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman commands 91.5% trader consensus as the New York Republican gubernatorial primary winner due to his unchallenged endorsement and formal acceptance of the state GOP nomination at the February 2026 party convention, securing unified party backing ahead of the June 23 primary.** Recent internal GOP polling from late March shows him trailing Gov. Kathy Hochul by just nine points among likely voters, fueling optimism and solidifying his frontrunner status over minor challengers like Rep. Elise Stefanik (2%), Pat Hahn (3.8%), David Tulley (1.1%), and Betsy McCaughey (0.3%). With the April 6 filing deadline passed without major entrants, his position reflects strong incumbency-like advantages in Nassau County and low challenger viability; late-breaking scandals, high-profile defections, or Stefanik's surprise momentum could still shift odds before primary day.

**Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman commands 91.5% trader consensus as the New York Republican gubernatorial primary winner due to his unchallenged endorsement and formal acceptance of the state GOP nomination at the February 2026 party convention, securing unified party backing ahead of the June 23 primary.** Recent internal GOP polling from late March shows him trailing Gov. Kathy Hochul by just nine points among likely voters, fueling optimism and solidifying his frontrunner status over minor challengers like Rep. Elise Stefanik (2%), Pat Hahn (3.8%), David Tulley (1.1%), and Betsy McCaughey (0.3%). With the April 6 filing deadline passed without major entrants, his position reflects strong incumbency-like advantages in Nassau County and low challenger viability; late-breaking scandals, high-profile defections, or Stefanik's surprise momentum could still shift odds before primary day.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bruce Blakeman" at 92%, followed by "Pat Hahn" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 4, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York" is "Bruce Blakeman" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pat Hahn" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Nova York" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.