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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire

Cinde Warmington 81%

John Kiper 11%

Tom Sherman 3.9%

Deaglan McEachern 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Cinde Warmington 81%

John Kiper 11%

Tom Sherman 3.9%

Deaglan McEachern 2.4%

Polymarket
NEW

Cinde Warmington

$7,906 Vol.

81%

John Kiper

$0 Vol.

11%

Tom Sherman

$1,611 Vol.

4%

Deaglan McEachern

$0 Vol.

2%

Donovan Fenton

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Cinde Warmington at 80.5% to win New Hampshire's Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her commanding lead in the March 16–19 Saint Anselm College poll of registered voters (40% Warmington, 13% John Kiper, 47% undecided/other), which solidified her frontrunner status amid high uncertainty. Her February 18 campaign launch as a 2024 primary veteran, bolstered by name recognition and fundraising edge, explains the wide margin over Kiper's 10.5% share, reflecting his recent Democratic Party re-entry after a brief independent bid. Portsmouth Mayor Deaglan McEachern's February 27 decision against running further clears her path, while Tom Sherman (3.9%) and Donovan Fenton (0.3%) lack momentum without fresh endorsements or polling. June filing deadline and potential late entrants could shift dynamics.

Trader consensus heavily favors Cinde Warmington at 80.5% to win New Hampshire's Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her commanding lead in the March 16–19 Saint Anselm College poll of registered voters (40% Warmington, 13% John Kiper, 47% undecided/other), which solidified her frontrunner status amid high uncertainty. Her February 18 campaign launch as a 2024 primary veteran, bolstered by name recognition and fundraising edge, explains the wide margin over Kiper's 10.5% share, reflecting his recent Democratic Party re-entry after a brief independent bid. Portsmouth Mayor Deaglan McEachern's February 27 decision against running further clears her path, while Tom Sherman (3.9%) and Donovan Fenton (0.3%) lack momentum without fresh endorsements or polling. June filing deadline and potential late entrants could shift dynamics.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Cinde Warmington at 80.5% to win New Hampshire's Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her commanding lead in the March 16–19 Saint Anselm College poll of registered voters (40% Warmington, 13% John Kiper, 47% undecided/other), which solidified her frontrunner status amid high uncertainty. Her February 18 campaign launch as a 2024 primary veteran, bolstered by name recognition and fundraising edge, explains the wide margin over Kiper's 10.5% share, reflecting his recent Democratic Party re-entry after a brief independent bid. Portsmouth Mayor Deaglan McEachern's February 27 decision against running further clears her path, while Tom Sherman (3.9%) and Donovan Fenton (0.3%) lack momentum without fresh endorsements or polling. June filing deadline and potential late entrants could shift dynamics.

Trader consensus heavily favors Cinde Warmington at 80.5% to win New Hampshire's Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her commanding lead in the March 16–19 Saint Anselm College poll of registered voters (40% Warmington, 13% John Kiper, 47% undecided/other), which solidified her frontrunner status amid high uncertainty. Her February 18 campaign launch as a 2024 primary veteran, bolstered by name recognition and fundraising edge, explains the wide margin over Kiper's 10.5% share, reflecting his recent Democratic Party re-entry after a brief independent bid. Portsmouth Mayor Deaglan McEachern's February 27 decision against running further clears her path, while Tom Sherman (3.9%) and Donovan Fenton (0.3%) lack momentum without fresh endorsements or polling. June filing deadline and potential late entrants could shift dynamics.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cinde Warmington" at 81%, followed by "John Kiper" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 4, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" is "Cinde Warmington" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Kiper" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.