Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a nail-biter La Paz Governor election in Bolivia, with Luis Antonio Revilla (39.6%) edging René Yahuasi Calamani (39.4%) amid a splintered 14-candidate field where Germán Riveros trails at 21.1%. Recent polls from late September confirm this parity, driven by Revilla's urban support in La Paz city and Yahuasi's backing from MAS-aligned indigenous voters in El Alto, a pivotal battleground municipality with high turnout potential. No game-changing events in the past week—such as rallies or endorsements—have broken the deadlock, keeping the race tight despite MAS's historical dominance in the department. Separation could emerge from national figures like Evo Morales consolidating support, scandals, or shifts in undecided voters ahead of the first-round vote, potentially triggering a runoff absent a 50% majority.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)
Vencedor da eleição para governador de La Paz (Bolívia)
Luis Antonio Revilla 50.0%
Felix Patzi 9.0%
Santos Quispe Quispe 8.9%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas 4.4%
$12,997 Vol.
$12,997 Vol.
Luis Antonio Revilla
40%
Felix Patzi
9%
Santos Quispe Quispe
9%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
4%
Rafael Quispe Flores
3%
Germán Riveros
21%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Richard Andrés Gómez
8%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Fidel Chura
10%
René Yahuasi Calamani
39%
Luis Antonio Revilla 50.0%
Felix Patzi 9.0%
Santos Quispe Quispe 8.9%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas 4.4%
$12,997 Vol.
$12,997 Vol.
Luis Antonio Revilla
40%
Felix Patzi
9%
Santos Quispe Quispe
9%
Augusto Saturnino Oblitas
4%
Rafael Quispe Flores
3%
Germán Riveros
21%
Demetrio Villca
1%
Orlando Callisaya
<1%
Richard Andrés Gómez
8%
Gualberto Cusi
<1%
Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer
<1%
Clemente Gutiérrez
<1%
Leopoldo Richar Chui
<1%
Fidel Chura
10%
René Yahuasi Calamani
39%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a nail-biter La Paz Governor election in Bolivia, with Luis Antonio Revilla (39.6%) edging René Yahuasi Calamani (39.4%) amid a splintered 14-candidate field where Germán Riveros trails at 21.1%. Recent polls from late September confirm this parity, driven by Revilla's urban support in La Paz city and Yahuasi's backing from MAS-aligned indigenous voters in El Alto, a pivotal battleground municipality with high turnout potential. No game-changing events in the past week—such as rallies or endorsements—have broken the deadlock, keeping the race tight despite MAS's historical dominance in the department. Separation could emerge from national figures like Evo Morales consolidating support, scandals, or shifts in undecided voters ahead of the first-round vote, potentially triggering a runoff absent a 50% majority.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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