Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Woo Sang-ho at 89% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Gangwon Province gubernatorial election, reflecting consistent polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Jin-tae through mid-March surveys before the April 4 poll blackout. Woo, former presidential chief of staff for political affairs, secured party nomination in late February after former Governor Lee Kwang-jae's withdrawal and endorsement unified Democratic ranks, while Kim received single-nomination without primaries on March 17. Recent momentum includes Democratic leader Jung Chung-rae's April 1 visit pledging support and criticism of Kim's 245 million won provincial report event as an election stunt. Gangwon's conservative base faces challenger surge amid undecided voters, with low odds for minor candidates signaling a two-way race; turnout and late scandals could shift dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador da província de Gangwon
Vencedor da eleição para governador da província de Gangwon
Woo Sang-ho 89%
Kim Jin-tae 11%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
Kim Wan-seop <1%
$336,059 Vol.
$336,059 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
11%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
89%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
<1%
Song Gi-heon
<1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
Woo Sang-ho 89%
Kim Jin-tae 11%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
Kim Wan-seop <1%
$336,059 Vol.
$336,059 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
11%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
89%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
<1%
Song Gi-heon
<1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercado Aberto: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Woo Sang-ho at 89% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026, Gangwon Province gubernatorial election, reflecting consistent polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Jin-tae through mid-March surveys before the April 4 poll blackout. Woo, former presidential chief of staff for political affairs, secured party nomination in late February after former Governor Lee Kwang-jae's withdrawal and endorsement unified Democratic ranks, while Kim received single-nomination without primaries on March 17. Recent momentum includes Democratic leader Jung Chung-rae's April 1 visit pledging support and criticism of Kim's 245 million won provincial report event as an election stunt. Gangwon's conservative base faces challenger surge amid undecided voters, with low odds for minor candidates signaling a two-way race; turnout and late scandals could shift dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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