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Eleições·França

Hittler vs. Zielinski: Arcis-sur-Aube Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
Eleições·França

Hittler vs. Zielinski: Arcis-sur-Aube Mayoral Election Winner

Charles Hittler 92%

Annie Soucat 5%

Antoine Renault-Zielinski 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Charles Hittler 92%

Annie Soucat 5%

Antoine Renault-Zielinski 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Charles Hittler

$1,478 Vol.

92%

Annie Soucat

$381 Vol.

5%

Antoine Renault-Zielinski

$317 Vol.

3%

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$2,176
Data de Término
Mar 22, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 19, 2026, 9:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

**Charles Hittler's 91.5% implied probability in the Arcis-sur-Aube mayoral election market reflects his entrenched incumbency advantage as the center-right Les Républicains mayor since 2001, with a track record of local infrastructure projects and fiscal stability in the Aube commune.** Recent candidate declarations in late 2024 confirm Hittler facing limited opposition: Annie Soucat (socialist-leaning) at 5% and Antoine Renault-Zielinski (Rassemblement National newcomer) at 3%, whose national populist messaging struggles in this low-drama rural setting where voter loyalty favors continuity. Trader sentiment underscores minimal volatility ahead of the 2026 two-round vote, per historical small-town patterns with incumbents winning over 85% when polling double-digits ahead. Realistic upsets hinge on surprise second-round consolidation of anti-Hittler votes from high turnout (above 60%) or an unforeseen personal scandal, though primary evidence points to steady frontrunner momentum.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hittler vs. Zielinski: Arcis-sur-Aube Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Charles Hittler" at 92%, followed by "Annie Soucat" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Hittler vs. Zielinski: Arcis-sur-Aube Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Hittler vs. Zielinski: Arcis-sur-Aube Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hittler vs. Zielinski: Arcis-sur-Aube Mayoral Election Winner" is "Charles Hittler" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Annie Soucat" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hittler vs. Zielinski: Arcis-sur-Aube Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.