Iranian Kurdish opposition parties have formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026, calling for regime change and Kurdish self-determination during ongoing protests and strikes, yet they have avoided any formal declaration of independence amid Iranian airstrikes and missile strikes on their bases in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. U.S. and Israeli military operations against Tehran have increased pressure on Iranian security forces in Kurdish areas without delivering the external guarantees or coordination needed for secession, while Iraqi Kurdish authorities have explicitly distanced themselves from cross-border actions. Neighboring states and major powers continue to oppose fragmentation of Iranian territory, consistent with longstanding regional policies favoring stability over ethnic state formation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCurdos declaram independência do Irã?
Curdos declaram independência do Irã?
Sim
$141,108 Vol.
$141,108 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$141,108 Vol.
$141,108 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition parties have formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026, calling for regime change and Kurdish self-determination during ongoing protests and strikes, yet they have avoided any formal declaration of independence amid Iranian airstrikes and missile strikes on their bases in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. U.S. and Israeli military operations against Tehran have increased pressure on Iranian security forces in Kurdish areas without delivering the external guarantees or coordination needed for secession, while Iraqi Kurdish authorities have explicitly distanced themselves from cross-border actions. Neighboring states and major powers continue to oppose fragmentation of Iranian territory, consistent with longstanding regional policies favoring stability over ethnic state formation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$141,108Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition parties have formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026, calling for regime change and Kurdish self-determination during ongoing protests and strikes, yet they have avoided any formal declaration of independence amid Iranian airstrikes and missile strikes on their bases in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. U.S. and Israeli military operations against Tehran have increased pressure on Iranian security forces in Kurdish areas without delivering the external guarantees or coordination needed for secession, while Iraqi Kurdish authorities have explicitly distanced themselves from cross-border actions. Neighboring states and major powers continue to oppose fragmentation of Iranian territory, consistent with longstanding regional policies favoring stability over ethnic state formation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$141,108Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian Kurdish opposition parties have formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026, calling for regime change and Kurdish self-determination during ongoing protests and strikes, yet they have avoided any formal declaration of independence amid Iranian airstrikes and missile strikes on their bases in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. U.S. and Israeli military operations against Tehran have increased pressure on Iranian security forces in Kurdish areas without delivering the external guarantees or coordination needed for secession, while Iraqi Kurdish authorities have explicitly distanced themselves from cross-border actions. Neighboring states and major powers continue to oppose fragmentation of Iranian territory, consistent with longstanding regional policies favoring stability over ethnic state formation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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