Iranian Kurdish opposition parties formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 during ongoing protests and the broader conflict involving U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iranian targets. Coalition statements and public comments from leaders of groups including the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan and the Kurdistan Free Life Party emphasize self-determination through federal arrangements or greater autonomy inside a democratic Iran, rather than outright secession or a new independent state. Iranian security forces have retained control in Kurdish-majority provinces despite airstrikes and unrest, while external actors have signaled limited willingness to back territorial partition. These developments underpin trader consensus against a formal declaration of independence by the June 2026 resolution date. A sudden regime collapse or major policy reversal by external powers could still alter the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCurdos declaram independência do Irã?
Curdos declaram independência do Irã?
Sim
$141,108 Vol.
$141,108 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$141,108 Vol.
$141,108 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition parties formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 during ongoing protests and the broader conflict involving U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iranian targets. Coalition statements and public comments from leaders of groups including the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan and the Kurdistan Free Life Party emphasize self-determination through federal arrangements or greater autonomy inside a democratic Iran, rather than outright secession or a new independent state. Iranian security forces have retained control in Kurdish-majority provinces despite airstrikes and unrest, while external actors have signaled limited willingness to back territorial partition. These developments underpin trader consensus against a formal declaration of independence by the June 2026 resolution date. A sudden regime collapse or major policy reversal by external powers could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$141,108Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition parties formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 during ongoing protests and the broader conflict involving U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iranian targets. Coalition statements and public comments from leaders of groups including the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan and the Kurdistan Free Life Party emphasize self-determination through federal arrangements or greater autonomy inside a democratic Iran, rather than outright secession or a new independent state. Iranian security forces have retained control in Kurdish-majority provinces despite airstrikes and unrest, while external actors have signaled limited willingness to back territorial partition. These developments underpin trader consensus against a formal declaration of independence by the June 2026 resolution date. A sudden regime collapse or major policy reversal by external powers could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$141,108Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian Kurdish opposition parties formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 during ongoing protests and the broader conflict involving U.S. and Israeli military actions against Iranian targets. Coalition statements and public comments from leaders of groups including the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan and the Kurdistan Free Life Party emphasize self-determination through federal arrangements or greater autonomy inside a democratic Iran, rather than outright secession or a new independent state. Iranian security forces have retained control in Kurdish-majority provinces despite airstrikes and unrest, while external actors have signaled limited willingness to back territorial partition. These developments underpin trader consensus against a formal declaration of independence by the June 2026 resolution date. A sudden regime collapse or major policy reversal by external powers could still alter the outlook.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions