Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 20-39 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 17-24, 2026, reflecting the Supreme Leader's longstanding pattern of steady digital outreach. The account consistently publishes 4-6 items daily—Quranic verses, hadiths, policy statements, and event updates—yielding a reliable weekly average in the mid-20s, as seen in recent months amid Iran's domestic and regional tensions. No disruptions like health issues or platform changes have altered this rhythm, bolstering the frontrunner. Realistic challenges include a sudden medical event for the 86-year-old leader, escalated geopolitical crises curtailing posts, or X policy shifts targeting state-linked accounts, though these remain low-probability based on precedents.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoKhamenei # publica de 17 a 24 de março de 2026?
Khamenei # publica de 17 a 24 de março de 2026?
20-39 100.0%
<20 <1%
40-59 <1%
60-79 <1%
$34,308 Vol.
$34,308 Vol.
<20
Não
20-39
Sim
40-59
Não
60-79
Não
80-99
Não
100-119
Não
120-139
Não
140-159
Não
160-179
Não
180-199
Não
200+
Não
20-39 100.0%
<20 <1%
40-59 <1%
60-79 <1%
$34,308 Vol.
$34,308 Vol.
<20
Não
20-39
Sim
40-59
Não
60-79
Não
80-99
Não
100-119
Não
120-139
Não
140-159
Não
160-179
Não
180-199
Não
200+
Não
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 20-39 posts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official X account (@khamenei_ir) during March 17-24, 2026, reflecting the Supreme Leader's longstanding pattern of steady digital outreach. The account consistently publishes 4-6 items daily—Quranic verses, hadiths, policy statements, and event updates—yielding a reliable weekly average in the mid-20s, as seen in recent months amid Iran's domestic and regional tensions. No disruptions like health issues or platform changes have altered this rhythm, bolstering the frontrunner. Realistic challenges include a sudden medical event for the 86-year-old leader, escalated geopolitical crises curtailing posts, or X policy shifts targeting state-linked accounts, though these remain low-probability based on precedents.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions