Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's bid for re-election drives trader consensus at 85% for a Republican winner in the Kansas U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—no Democrat has won a Senate seat here since 1932—and Marshall's superior fundraising with over $4 million cash on hand. Recent developments include Marshall's late February 2026 "4 Corners, 50 Counties" tour touting tax cuts and rural priorities, alongside a crowded Democratic primary field of eight candidates like state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and Christy Davis, fragmenting opposition ahead of the August 4 primaries. A March exploratory announcement by independent pastor Adam Hamilton introduces minor uncertainty, but forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in red states.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$13,459 Vol.
$13,459 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republicano
85%
Democrata
15%
$13,459 Vol.
$13,459 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republicano
$7,300 Vol.
85%
Democrata
$6,158 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's bid for re-election drives trader consensus at 85% for a Republican winner in the Kansas U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—no Democrat has won a Senate seat here since 1932—and Marshall's superior fundraising with over $4 million cash on hand. Recent developments include Marshall's late February 2026 "4 Corners, 50 Counties" tour touting tax cuts and rural priorities, alongside a crowded Democratic primary field of eight candidates like state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and Christy Davis, fragmenting opposition ahead of the August 4 primaries. A March exploratory announcement by independent pastor Adam Hamilton introduces minor uncertainty, but forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in red states.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$13,459Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's bid for re-election drives trader consensus at 85% for a Republican winner in the Kansas U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—no Democrat has won a Senate seat here since 1932—and Marshall's superior fundraising with over $4 million cash on hand. Recent developments include Marshall's late February 2026 "4 Corners, 50 Counties" tour touting tax cuts and rural priorities, alongside a crowded Democratic primary field of eight candidates like state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and Christy Davis, fragmenting opposition ahead of the August 4 primaries. A March exploratory announcement by independent pastor Adam Hamilton introduces minor uncertainty, but forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in red states.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$13,459Data de Término
Nov 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's bid for re-election drives trader consensus at 85% for a Republican winner in the Kansas U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's entrenched GOP dominance—no Democrat has won a Senate seat here since 1932—and Marshall's superior fundraising with over $4 million cash on hand. Recent developments include Marshall's late February 2026 "4 Corners, 50 Counties" tour touting tax cuts and rural priorities, alongside a crowded Democratic primary field of eight candidates like state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and Christy Davis, fragmenting opposition ahead of the August 4 primaries. A March exploratory announcement by independent pastor Adam Hamilton introduces minor uncertainty, but forecasters like Cook Political Report rate the seat Solid Republican amid historical base rates favoring incumbents in red states.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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