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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Iowa

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Iowa

Randy Feenstra 56%

Adam Steen 21%

Zach Lahn 16.2%

Eddie Andrews 10.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Randy Feenstra 56%

Adam Steen 21%

Zach Lahn 16.2%

Eddie Andrews 10.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Randy Feenstra

$624 Vol.

62%

Adam Steen

$1,249 Vol.

21%

Zach Lahn

$0 Vol.

16%

Eddie Andrews

$0 Vol.

10%

Brad Sherman

$2,871 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability in the Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary due to his incumbency advantage, seven-figure ad buys launched in early March, and endorsement from former Gov. Terry Branstad on March 18, bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the June 2 primary. Adam Steen holds second at 19.5% with backing from the Family Leader on March 18 and his state administrative experience, though recent accusations by Eddie Andrews—cleared for the ballot March 25 after a petition challenge—of campaign threats have sparked intra-party clashes. Zach Lahn trails at 16% on self-funding and farmer appeal, while Andrews at 10.3% gains visibility from the dispute, and Brad Sherman lags at 2.1% with limited momentum post-filing deadline. No public polls have emerged since the March 17 ballot finalization.

U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability in the Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary due to his incumbency advantage, seven-figure ad buys launched in early March, and endorsement from former Gov. Terry Branstad on March 18, bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the June 2 primary. Adam Steen holds second at 19.5% with backing from the Family Leader on March 18 and his state administrative experience, though recent accusations by Eddie Andrews—cleared for the ballot March 25 after a petition challenge—of campaign threats have sparked intra-party clashes. Zach Lahn trails at 16% on self-funding and farmer appeal, while Andrews at 10.3% gains visibility from the dispute, and Brad Sherman lags at 2.1% with limited momentum post-filing deadline. No public polls have emerged since the March 17 ballot finalization.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability in the Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary due to his incumbency advantage, seven-figure ad buys launched in early March, and endorsement from former Gov. Terry Branstad on March 18, bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the June 2 primary. Adam Steen holds second at 19.5% with backing from the Family Leader on March 18 and his state administrative experience, though recent accusations by Eddie Andrews—cleared for the ballot March 25 after a petition challenge—of campaign threats have sparked intra-party clashes. Zach Lahn trails at 16% on self-funding and farmer appeal, while Andrews at 10.3% gains visibility from the dispute, and Brad Sherman lags at 2.1% with limited momentum post-filing deadline. No public polls have emerged since the March 17 ballot finalization.

U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability in the Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary due to his incumbency advantage, seven-figure ad buys launched in early March, and endorsement from former Gov. Terry Branstad on March 18, bolstering his frontrunner status ahead of the June 2 primary. Adam Steen holds second at 19.5% with backing from the Family Leader on March 18 and his state administrative experience, though recent accusations by Eddie Andrews—cleared for the ballot March 25 after a petition challenge—of campaign threats have sparked intra-party clashes. Zach Lahn trails at 16% on self-funding and farmer appeal, while Andrews at 10.3% gains visibility from the dispute, and Brad Sherman lags at 2.1% with limited momentum post-filing deadline. No public polls have emerged since the March 17 ballot finalization.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Iowa" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Randy Feenstra" at 62%, followed by "Adam Steen" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Iowa" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 9, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Iowa," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Iowa" is "Randy Feenstra" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adam Steen" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do governador de Iowa" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.