With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, trader consensus prices TISZA at 67.5% to win, reflecting independent polls like a March 25 survey showing the party widening its lead over Fidesz-KDNP to double digits among decided voters—53% to 39% in a 21 Research Centre poll. Challenger Péter Magyar's TISZA has surged on appeal to younger urban voters amid fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz incumbency, economic pressures, and corruption scandals, while Fidesz-aligned surveys claim tighter races or leads in rural strongholds. The majoritarian electoral system with single-member districts favors larger parties, leaving smaller ones like Momentum and DK at minimal odds; undecided voters and final campaign events could still shift the closely watched contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Hungria
Vencedor das Eleições Parlamentares da Hungria
TISZA 68%
Fidesz-KDNP 33%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$48,889,453 Vol.
$48,889,453 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
68%
Fidesz-KDNP
33%
Momentum
<1%
DK
<1%
LMP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
KDNP
<1%
TISZA 68%
Fidesz-KDNP 33%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$48,889,453 Vol.
$48,889,453 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
$857,178 Vol.
68%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,140,062 Vol.
33%
Momentum
$601,158 Vol.
<1%
DK
$4,876,095 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$14,325,703 Vol.
<1%
MSZP
$446,332 Vol.
<1%
Mi Hazánk
$461,810 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$7,088,495 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$14,786,563 Vol.
<1%
KDNP
$4,306,130 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, trader consensus prices TISZA at 67.5% to win, reflecting independent polls like a March 25 survey showing the party widening its lead over Fidesz-KDNP to double digits among decided voters—53% to 39% in a 21 Research Centre poll. Challenger Péter Magyar's TISZA has surged on appeal to younger urban voters amid fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz incumbency, economic pressures, and corruption scandals, while Fidesz-aligned surveys claim tighter races or leads in rural strongholds. The majoritarian electoral system with single-member districts favors larger parties, leaving smaller ones like Momentum and DK at minimal odds; undecided voters and final campaign events could still shift the closely watched contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$48,889,453Data de Término
Apr 12, 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, trader consensus prices TISZA at 67.5% to win, reflecting independent polls like a March 25 survey showing the party widening its lead over Fidesz-KDNP to double digits among decided voters—53% to 39% in a 21 Research Centre poll. Challenger Péter Magyar's TISZA has surged on appeal to younger urban voters amid fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz incumbency, economic pressures, and corruption scandals, while Fidesz-aligned surveys claim tighter races or leads in rural strongholds. The majoritarian electoral system with single-member districts favors larger parties, leaving smaller ones like Momentum and DK at minimal odds; undecided voters and final campaign events could still shift the closely watched contest.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$48,889,453Data de Término
Apr 12, 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, trader consensus prices TISZA at 67.5% to win, reflecting independent polls like a March 25 survey showing the party widening its lead over Fidesz-KDNP to double digits among decided voters—53% to 39% in a 21 Research Centre poll. Challenger Péter Magyar's TISZA has surged on appeal to younger urban voters amid fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz incumbency, economic pressures, and corruption scandals, while Fidesz-aligned surveys claim tighter races or leads in rural strongholds. The majoritarian electoral system with single-member districts favors larger parties, leaving smaller ones like Momentum and DK at minimal odds; undecided voters and final campaign events could still shift the closely watched contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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