Política·Grécia

How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?

Política·Grécia

How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?

20 - 25 minutes 100.0%

menos de 20 minutos <1%

25 - 30 minutes <1%

30 - 35 minutes <1%

$52,780 Vol.

$52,780 Vol.

Mar 26, 2026

menos de 20 minutos

$19,934 Vol.

Não

20 - 25 minutes

$901 Vol.

Yes

25 - 30 minutes

$16,476 Vol.

No

30 - 35 minutes

$205 Vol.

No

35 - 40 minutes

$14,264 Vol.

No

40+ minutes

$1,000 Vol.

No

20 - 25 minutes 100.0%

menos de 20 minutos <1%

25 - 30 minutes <1%

30 - 35 minutes <1%

$52,780 Vol.

$52,780 Vol.

Mar 26, 2026

menos de 20 minutos

$19,934 Vol.

Não

20 - 25 minutes

$901 Vol.

Yes

25 - 30 minutes

$16,476 Vol.

No

30 - 35 minutes

$205 Vol.

No

35 - 40 minutes

$14,264 Vol.

No

40+ minutes

$1,000 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Greek Independence Day celebration on March 26, 2026, 4PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Donald Trump begins speaking at his scheduled appearance at the Greek Independence Day celebration. This market will resolve based on when Donald Trump begins speaking.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Greek Independence Day event scheduled for March 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If no qualifying event occurs by March 26, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be streamed footage of the relevant event from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)

Mercado Aberto: Mar 26, 2026, 10:37 AM ET

Volume

$52,780

Data de Término

Mar 26, 2026

Mercado Aberto

Mar 26, 2026, 10:37 AM ET

Resolver

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Trader consensus assigns a commanding 92.5% implied probability to former President Trump arriving 20-25 minutes late to the Greek Independence Day event, driven by his longstanding pattern of moderate delays at public appearances, including recent campaign rallies and past official receptions where extended speeches or preparations routinely cause 15-30 minute overruns. This skin-in-the-game assessment draws on historical base rates from Trump's schedule management, with no major developments in the past week—such as announcements on event logistics or preceding commitments—altering the positioning. Realistic challenges could arise from unusually streamlined transitions or early wrap-ups, potentially landing under 20 minutes, or prolonged prior engagements pushing into 30+ minutes amid traffic or security protocols.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 26, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20 - 25 minutes" at 100%, followed by "menos de 20 minutos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?" has generated $52.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?" is "20 - 25 minutes" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "menos de 20 minutos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $52.8K traded on “How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "20 - 25 minutes" in the "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "20 - 25 minutes" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "How late will Trump be to the Greek Independence Day event?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.