Trader consensus on Seattle's highest temperature March 27 tilts toward mid-50s Fahrenheit, with 56-57°F leading at 27.5% implied probability, propelled by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF forecasting peaks of 55-58°F amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Differentiating factors include persistent marine stratus clouds from Puget Sound onshore flow capping highs at 54-55°F (25%), versus potential clearer skies and southerly winds boosting 58-59°F odds (23.5%) if the ridge amplifies. Historical March 27 averages hover near 56°F, but model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and diurnal heating, with tomorrow's 12z runs pivotal for shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle em 27 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle em 27 de março?
56-57°F 27%
54-55°F 25%
58-59°F 24%
50-51°F 16%
45°F ou menos
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
14%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
12%
64°F ou mais
10%
56-57°F 27%
54-55°F 25%
58-59°F 24%
50-51°F 16%
45°F ou menos
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
11%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
14%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
12%
64°F ou mais
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Seattle's highest temperature March 27 tilts toward mid-50s Fahrenheit, with 56-57°F leading at 27.5% implied probability, propelled by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF forecasting peaks of 55-58°F amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Differentiating factors include persistent marine stratus clouds from Puget Sound onshore flow capping highs at 54-55°F (25%), versus potential clearer skies and southerly winds boosting 58-59°F odds (23.5%) if the ridge amplifies. Historical March 27 averages hover near 56°F, but model spread reflects uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and diurnal heating, with tomorrow's 12z runs pivotal for shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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