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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador da Geórgia

Market icon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador da Geórgia

Keisha Lance Bottoms 85%

Geoff Duncan 10%

Jason Esteves 5%

Mike Thurmond 1.1%

Polymarket

$17,026 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms 85%

Geoff Duncan 10%

Jason Esteves 5%

Mike Thurmond 1.1%

Polymarket

$17,026 Vol.

Keisha Lance Bottoms

$17,026 Vol.

85%

Geoff Duncan

$0 Vol.

10%

Jason Esteves

$0 Vol.

5%

Mike Thurmond

$0 Vol.

1%

Ruwa Romman

$0 Vol.

1%

Derrick Jackson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Olujimi Brown

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms leads the Georgia Governor Democratic primary market at 84.5% implied probability, driven by her high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor, early fundraising momentum exceeding $1 million shortly after signaling her 2026 bid last month, and endorsements from key Democratic figures including Stacey Abrams allies. Traders view her as the frontrunner in this open-seat race—Governor Brian Kemp is term-limited—amid a thin field lacking other heavyweights. Geoff Duncan, the former Republican lieutenant governor who has criticized Trump and attended Democratic events, holds 9.5% on speculation of a party switch or crossover appeal, though he has not formally entered as a Democrat. Jason Esteves at 5% benefits from state Senate visibility, while others trail on limited resources. No major polling yet, with the primary roughly 18 months away; upcoming candidate announcements could shift odds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$17,026
Data de Término
May 19, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Keisha Lance Bottoms leads the Georgia Governor Democratic primary market at 84.5% implied probability, driven by her high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor, early fundraising momentum exceeding $1 million shortly after signaling her 2026 bid last month, and endorsements from key Democratic figures including Stacey Abrams allies. Traders view her as the frontrunner in this open-seat race—Governor Brian Kemp is term-limited—amid a thin field lacking other heavyweights. Geoff Duncan, the former Republican lieutenant governor who has criticized Trump and attended Democratic events, holds 9.5% on speculation of a party switch or crossover appeal, though he has not formally entered as a Democrat. Jason Esteves at 5% benefits from state Senate visibility, while others trail on limited resources. No major polling yet, with the primary roughly 18 months away; upcoming candidate announcements could shift odds.

Keisha Lance Bottoms leads the Georgia Governor Democratic primary market at 84.5% implied probability, driven by her high name recognition as former Atlanta mayor, early fundraising momentum exceeding $1 million shortly after signaling her 2026 bid last month, and endorsements from key Democratic figures including Stacey Abrams allies. Traders view her as the frontrunner in this open-seat race—Governor Brian Kemp is term-limited—amid a thin field lacking other heavyweights. Geoff Duncan, the former Republican lieutenant governor who has criticized Trump and attended Democratic events, holds 9.5% on speculation of a party switch or crossover appeal, though he has not formally entered as a Democrat. Jason Esteves at 5% benefits from state Senate visibility, while others trail on limited resources. No major polling yet, with the primary roughly 18 months away; upcoming candidate announcements could shift odds.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador da Geórgia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 85%, followed by "Geoff Duncan" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador da Geórgia" has generated $17K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador da Geórgia," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador da Geórgia" is "Keisha Lance Bottoms" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Geoff Duncan" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador da Geórgia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.