Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Woo Sang-ho at 87.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election, driven by his consistent double-digit leads over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Jin-tae in polls throughout the year. Recent surveys, including a late March poll showing Woo at 34% to Kim's 22%, confirm Woo ahead outside the margin of error in seven of eight head-to-head matchups. Former Governor Lee Kwang-jae's early February withdrawal and endorsement bolstered Woo's position in this conservative-leaning province, amplified by the ruling party's national momentum—President Lee Jae-myung's 66% approval and PPP's 17% support—positioning Kim as a distant 10.5% underdog ahead of the local elections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador da província de Gangwon
Vencedor da eleição para governador da província de Gangwon
Woo Sang-ho 88%
Kim Jin-tae 11%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
Kim Wan-seop <1%
$334,087 Vol.
$334,087 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
11%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
88%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
<1%
Song Gi-heon
<1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
Woo Sang-ho 88%
Kim Jin-tae 11%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
Kim Wan-seop <1%
$334,087 Vol.
$334,087 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
11%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
88%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
<1%
Song Gi-heon
<1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercado Aberto: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Woo Sang-ho at 87.5% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election, driven by his consistent double-digit leads over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Jin-tae in polls throughout the year. Recent surveys, including a late March poll showing Woo at 34% to Kim's 22%, confirm Woo ahead outside the margin of error in seven of eight head-to-head matchups. Former Governor Lee Kwang-jae's early February withdrawal and endorsement bolstered Woo's position in this conservative-leaning province, amplified by the ruling party's national momentum—President Lee Jae-myung's 66% approval and PPP's 17% support—positioning Kim as a distant 10.5% underdog ahead of the local elections.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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